Vote LEAVE is naive if it thinks it can black-ball Farage for the entire campaign

Vote LEAVE is naive if it thinks it can black-ball Farage for the entire campaign

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BBC News list of events planned so far And Cameron isn’t going face to face with a fellow Tory So far we haven’t seen any betting markets linked to the referendum TV debates but that’s likely to happen as this becomes a bigger issue following the Vote Leave reaction to the ITV event planned for June 9th. This is when Farage and Cameron are due to appear in the same programme although they won’t debate directly with each other. Clearly…

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Sentence first, verdict later. Rushing to judgement over BHS

Sentence first, verdict later. Rushing to judgement over BHS

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Sir Philip Green potentially makes for a good pantomime villain.  He has never gone out of his way to charm the public and he has contacts in elite political circles.  His wealth is fabulous and flaunted.  His tax management strategies have blazed across the front pages of the newspapers.  And now his former flagship company BHS has gone bust, leaving a pension scheme that is half a billion pounds short, and he has taken large dividends from the company over…

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Exactly six weeks to go to the day that Britain decides on its future in Europe

Exactly six weeks to go to the day that Britain decides on its future in Europe

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The polling, however, has been reduced to a fizzle After a period when referendum polls were coming out almost everyday there’s suddenly been a lull in the number of polls being published. It is now May 12th and just three surveys have come out where the fieldwork has taken place in May. All of them have been online. The last phone poll was completed on April 26th. Hopefully this is a temporary interruption caused by last week’s range of elections…

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Following the SNPs loss of its Holyrood majority last week ex-party boss Salmond says the voting system unfair

Following the SNPs loss of its Holyrood majority last week ex-party boss Salmond says the voting system unfair

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Alex Salmond, whose SNP lost its Holyrood majority last week, moans about the unfairness of voting system. https://t.co/QPxrOSR3S2 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 11, 2016 This from a party that got 56 of Scotland 59 Westminster seats last year on 50% of the vote

Guest Post: Summer 2016 might lead to a generational shift in the two main parties

Guest Post: Summer 2016 might lead to a generational shift in the two main parties

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Guest Post by Mortimer Summer 2016 could prove a watershed moment in modern British politics. April and early-May have already seen the incumbent leadership of the English Conservatives shown up in comparison to Ruth Davidson’s success north of the border, and the old guard of an apparently gaffe-obsessed Labour Party cheered by victory in London yet criticised by the triumphant Sadiq Khan. More pressure on the Conservative leadership is likely if, as the polls currently indicate, the referendum on June…

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Almost all the online polls when tested against real results last Thursday overstated UKIP

Almost all the online polls when tested against real results last Thursday overstated UKIP

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As first revealed on #newsnight, online polls seem to be overestimating support for #Brexit https://t.co/zgTmJPLs7Z pic.twitter.com/Wahc54HTFc — Matt Singh (@MattSingh_) May 10, 2016 This looks like a good pointer to referendum polling Well done to Matt Singh for picking up this – how in the range of elections last Thursday the online pollsters across the board appeared to be over-stating UKIP. His analysis covers the London as well as the Scottish and Welsh elections. The details are in the chart…

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