Sporting Index have a market up on the referendum turnout. Alastair Meeks tipped it when it was 62, but I still think at its current mid price of 68 it is still a buy for the following reasons With Leave looking like they could win, it will motivate Leave voters to turnout and ensure victory. Remain voters who might have stayed at home if the polls were showing a comfortable Remain victory will now be motivated to turnout. With Individual…
Birstall – what we know:– MP Jo Cox in "critical condition"– Man "slightly injured"– 52-year-old man arrestedhttps://t.co/pbBKlBPWby — BBC News (UK) (@BBCNews) June 16, 2016 https://twitter.com/StrongerIn/status/743439773998661638 On the @vote_leave bus @BorisJohnson says he is going to suspend campaigning after the shooting of Jo Cox MP — Faisal Islam (@faisalislam) June 16, 2016 Both campaigns have rightly suspended their campaigns, the only focus should be on hoping Jo Cox makes a full and speedy recovery. TSE
Overall population split down middle – BUT voters favour LEAVE #EUref pic.twitter.com/3AVo4Y35E7 — Ben Page (@benatipsos) June 16, 2016 The plethora of (significant) Leave leads are at variance with Betfair. David Cameron is finding EU Can’t Always Get What You Want. He must be feeling like Gonville Bromhead, as he’s told the pollsters report Brextieers….millions of them. What this poll finds is that the focus on immigration and Turkey is working for Leave whilst the Remain attack lines on the economy…
Take a deep breath. The scent in your nostrils is the dusty burnt smell of scorched earth politics from the referendum. George Osborne has pre-launched the emergency budget he would advocate in the event of a Leave vote, to the fury of half of his own party’s backbenchers. Dozens have already publicly declared that they would vote against it. Just as extraordinarily, the Leave camp have issued their manifesto should they win. These policies, none of which have been through…
This week is Keiran Pedley is joined by Matthew Shaddick of Ladbrokes, Professor Matthew Goodwin of the University of Kent, and Adam Ludlow of ComRes. The topics under discussion were the EU referendum polling, betting odds, turnout, immigration vs the economy, The Sun endorsement, and the implications for Cameron and Corbyn. The audio only version is below TSE
Austria-Hungary does not have a good press nowadays. It is vaguely thought of as an autocratic dysfunctional empire whose demise was unmourned. Lands that once formed a single empire that had been ruled by the Hapsburgs for centuries are now shared between a dozen independent countries. No one clamours for it to be reconstituted. Is this a parable for the fate of the EU? Perhaps. But the parable might be a bit more complex than that. For a start, Austria-Hungary…
Via @britainelects @ComResPolls #EURef Phone poll Remain: 46% (-6)Leave: 45% (+4)https://t.co/wKQDVraRB1 — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 14, 2016 If this poll is accurate, the UK is Never Gonna Give EU Up As with other recent referendum polls there’s been a big swing to Leave, it is a reflection of the poor position Remain find themselves in that they’ll be delighted with a 1% per cent lead. The primary reasons I’m so interested in ComRes’ phone polls is that they were the…