Smith should acknowledge that JC’s the likely winner and press for the highest possible vote to “send a message to the party”

Smith should acknowledge that JC’s the likely winner and press for the highest possible vote to “send a message to the party”

The challenger needs to change strategy This morning there’s been another effort by the Smith campaign to claim that “private polling” suggests that the battle is close and that he could win. This might or might not be right but until we see a proper selectorate poll showing something different the overwhelming narrative will be that that JC is heading to hang on to his job. There’s no point in the Smith campaign making assertions which are simply not believed…

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Use your political forecasting skills to enter the 2016 PB Labour leadership PRIZE Competition

Use your political forecasting skills to enter the 2016 PB Labour leadership PRIZE Competition

Simply record here Smith or Corbyn;your predicted winning margin & turnout Thanks to Mark Hopkins and his NoJam widget we’ve prepared another PB Prize competition. Simply predict who’ll win the LAB contest and the winning margin. There’s a tie-breaker question as well – the turnout. Your predictions should be to two decimal points and the competition will close at 1900 BST tomorrow night. The two entrants who are closest will win in addition to the bragging rights copies of what’s…

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Showing the “human face” of the PLP – how MPs who were let down by Corbyn can help deliver victory to Smith

Showing the “human face” of the PLP – how MPs who were let down by Corbyn can help deliver victory to Smith

Don Brind on Smith’s message to 2015 Corbyn voters with buyers’ remorse “I’ll tell you what sums up Jeremy Corbyn for me. When we had a march through Westminster he made sure he was right at the front and carrying a banner. But when it came to the hard graft – talking to businesses and government he was nowhere to be seen.” Anna Turley the MP for Redcar is perched on a desk in her office in front of her…

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Rio’s over and so to Tokyo and beyond

Rio’s over and so to Tokyo and beyond

David Herdson looks at the battle to host the Games of the XXXIII Olympiad? So, farewell then Rio – or perhaps, goodbye. It’s not been a vintage Games. Some problems, such as the Zika virus, couldn’t have been anticipated or prevented but others – the three-quarter empty stadia, the unsporting crowds, the polluted water, dangerous cycle courses and the impending shambles of the Paralympics – most certainly could. The City of Fiesta never showed up and it will be a…

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The PLP indicate that they expect Corbyn to win and that they won’t split

The PLP indicate that they expect Corbyn to win and that they won’t split

Interesting story about what the PLP will do if Corbyn wins the leadership contesthttps://t.co/X0Hc8AsJPL pic.twitter.com/WGrWK24bkS — TSE (@TSEofPB) August 21, 2016 Labour MPs set to hoist Corbyn by his own petard? There’s an interesting story in today’s Sunday Times (££) which Politicshome have covered for free here, it says The Sunday Times reports the “party within a party” framework will be based on the Socialist Campaign Group of MPs, which counts Mr Corbyn as a member. According to the paper,…

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The betting strategy if for some reason Trump or Clinton aren’t candidates on election day

The betting strategy if for some reason Trump or Clinton aren’t candidates on election day

What to do if Trump or Clinton aren’t the candidates on election day? Paddy Power have markets up on whether Trump or Clinton won’t be their party’s Presidential candidate on election day. After all there has been speculation about Trump quitting the race (or the GOP trying to replace him.) But if for whatever reason Trump isn’t the candidate on 8/11/2016 if you wanted to bet on this market, the better strategy might be to back the likely replacements for…

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