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The Grammar School policy is un-Conservative and will appeal to the wrong people

10/9/2016 David Herdson Comments 0 Comment

The thinking is muddled because the priorities are muddled Theresa May is a grammar school girl.* That personal experience, combined with the success of her career, might well be at the root of her enthusiasm for the system which she so lauded yesterday; many who believe they benefitted personally from a system become advocates for its wider adoption. If so, her enthusiasm is misplaced. Coming into office on a pledge of social mobility, it’s perhaps not too surprising that she’s…

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Last night’s by election round up

9/9/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

The Lib Dem fightback continues, this time in the finest city in the known universe, Sheffield. Liberal Democrat GAIN Mosborough (Sheffield) from Labour. — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) September 8, 2016 Mosborough (Sheffield) result:LDEM: 45.6% (+31.8)LAB: 34.1% (-9.2)UKIP: 12.4% (-9.8)CON: 6.1% (-7.9)GRN: 1.8% (-1.3) — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) September 8, 2016 Labour HOLD Yeoman Hill (Mansfield). — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) September 8, 2016 Yeoman Hill (Mansfield) result:LAB: 45.7% (-4.5)MIF: 24.3% (-25.5)UKIP: 17.3% (+17.3)CON: 6.7% (+6.7)IND: 5.9% (+5.9) — Britain Elects (@BritainElects)…

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Vox Populi, Vox Dei, the polling that explains why Mrs May is backing creating more grammar schools

9/9/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Last month YouGov conducted some polling on grammar schools, some of the polling explains why Mrs May has so publicly endorsed the expansion of grammar schools today, it would be appear people view them as good for social mobility. and they would like their children to go to grammar schools. However the polling also found more people in favour of scrapping existing current grammar schools/or not creating any more grammar schools. This is probably based on the studies that show…

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Today we should have been getting the new Prime Minister

9/9/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

The picture above sums up the last few months in British politics, the reaction live on television of Sam Coates, Deputy Political Editor of The Times, to Boris Johnson withdrawing from the Tory leadership race. Theresa May’s lack of a mandate could cause her problems. If events had gone to schedule, the result of the Tory leadership contest would have been announced today, Andrea Leadsom’s disastrous ‘mother superior’ interview helped put the kibosh on those plans. But in hindsight Theresa May…

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Tonight’s by elections roundup

8/9/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Tonight's council by-elections: three Labour defences and one UKIP https://t.co/WHPJJTOkMO pic.twitter.com/u2sm5eCUN0 — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) September 8, 2016

Brace yourselves for the right wing version of Momentum

8/9/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Ukip donor Arron Banks is formally canvassing Leave.EU backers abt starting a new movement. Says "almost 50%" keen.https://t.co/2dfNkOQGw5 — Lucy Fisher (@LOS_Fisher) September 8, 2016 Rumours abound that Nigel Farage (+ key aides) will run Arron Banks' new movement, which will be a "right-wing Momentum" or 38 degrees — Lucy Fisher (@LOS_Fisher) September 8, 2016 A UKIP split could allow Mrs May to go for a soft Brexit without experiencing an electoral cost. Today’s Times are reporting (££) Ukip’s most…

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A couple of general election betting markets

8/9/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Ladbrokes have a market up on if the Tory or Labour share of the vote will rise or fall at the next general election. On the Tory front it is no bet for me simply because whilst the Tory party is doing well at the moment the Brexit negotiations do have the potential to tear asunder the Tory Party like the Corn Laws did a couple of hundred years ago, which could potentially boost UKIP. On the Labour front if…

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Can Smith win? What voters want from BREXIT & the doctors strike: All in latest PB/Polling Matters TV show/podcast

7/9/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Keiran is back after a week off to discuss the latest polling and political developments with Katy Owen and Leo Barasi. As per the new format of the show each guest chooses some polling that they think is interesting and the group discuss what it means. Topics discussed this week include: 1) Leo reacts to Don Brind’s analysis on the last show that Owen Smith can still win and looks at Corybn’s impact on the Labour brand 2) Keiran looks…

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