If you fancy a 25% return in a little over 3 years, this might be the market for you. SkyBet have a market up on whether we’ll have another EU referendum before 2020, unlike a few other bookies, SkyBet are offering No as an option. One of the reasons why supporters of Remain should avoid a second referendum is that the public will not take kindly to having their verdict overturned, and we could see a Winchester 1997 rerun type…
This commitment, if made and delivered, will kill the Article 50 challenge stone dead. https://t.co/45I34Dn1Bk — Jo Maugham (@JolyonMaugham) October 1, 2016 One of the most interesting aspects of the forthcoming Great Repeal Bill is the implications it will have for the Article 50 case currently progressing through the courts. The tweet above is from the eminent Q.C. Jolyon Maugham, who is involved in the Article 50 court case, indicates this is a clever way by Mrs May to stop…
The extraordinary moves on the biggest night of political betting ever Even though it is now more than three months away I am still getting asked question and being invited to give talks on what happened on the betting markets on that memorable night for political punters – the EU referendum results. The above has been prepared for a session in Brussels that I am taking part in later in the month. Michael Dent of Liberty Tech, is now providing…
The two big parties are left scrapping over the also rans One of the more remarkable features of the polling in the last parliament was the almost complete inability of both Labour and Conservatives to win voters from each other. Vote shares may have gone up and down but it was gains from and losses to the Lib Dems, UKIP, the Greens and SNP (and non-voters) that was responsible; the direct swing between the big two was negligible. As then,…
Seats changing hands in September 2016 Liberal Democrats GAIN Four Lanes on Cornwall from United Kingdom Independence Party Conservatives GAIN Grangefield on Stockton on Tees from Labour Liberal Democrats GAIN Mosborough on Sheffield from Labour Liberal Democrats GAIN Tupton on North East Derbyshire from Labour Liberal Democrats GAIN Plasnewydd on Cardiff from Labour Labour GAIN Christchurch on Allerdale from Conservative Plaid Cymru GAIN Cilycwm on Carmarthenshire from Independent Labour GAIN Coatbridge North and Glenboig on North Lanarkshire from Scottish National Party…
No change at YouGov following events of last week New YouGov hasCON 39LAB 30LD 8UKIP 13Unchanged on last week — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 30, 2016 New findings on TMay TMay's net YouGov "Well/badly" ratings down from +31% on Sep 4 to +24%. By 42% to 26% sample said she "doesn't "care for people like me" — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 30, 2016 YouGov. Is TMay up to the job of being PMYes 52%No 19%40% of GE2015 LAB voters say…
It was said of the Thane of Cawdor that “Nothing in his life became him like the leaving it.” Well Britain may not be an ambitious murderer driven to evil deeds by superstitious prophecies (though some on the Remain side or in Continental Europe might well think otherwise). And it has not left anything yet. But two months on from the referendum, the swift defenestration of one ruler, his replacement by the well-shod Rosa Klebb of the Tory party…