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GOP VP Nominee Pence comes out best in the VP debate polls

5/10/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

But viewers who watched the basketball made a better TV choice Given how old both Trump and Clinton are then actuarially then the two men who took part in the overnight VP debate have probably got a reasonable chance of becoming President. So although the event will only have attracted a fraction of what Clinton-Trump secured last it is important. It will also get far less post debate coverage. It also put both men in with a chance of being…

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Diane James has quit – But is Farage still leader?

4/10/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

EXCLUSIVE – Ukip leader Diane James' statement to The Times on her resignation tonight. pic.twitter.com/lpuSk9cTiN — Lucy Fisher (@LOS_Fisher) October 4, 2016 THIS IS NOT A JOKE: UKIP source telling me @Nigel_Farage could technically STILL be leader as @DianeJamesMEP papers not submitted properly. — Darren McCaffrey (@darrenmccaffrey) October 4, 2016 Next #UKIP leader; latest odds from Ladbrokes. pic.twitter.com/DvcgEioisX — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) October 4, 2016 https://twitter.com/ProfChalmers/status/783397470558621696 TSE

Another female UKIP leader is set to do a tribute to Lady Jane Grey as rumours swirl Diane James has quit as UKIP leader after just 18 days

4/10/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

https://twitter.com/johnestevens/status/783390492008521728 https://twitter.com/johnestevens/status/783391358581088256 https://twitter.com/johnestevens/status/783392617837068288 https://twitter.com/johnestevens/status/783394273429430272 https://twitter.com/johnestevens/status/783395558773886978 John Stevens is The Daily Mail’s Bruxelles correspondent, so this appears to be a well sourced story. After Suzanne Evans’ memorably short stint as UKIP leader, could Nigel Farage about to be the comeback kid, again, they do say, history does repeat, first as tragedy, then as Farage. TSE Update NEW: Looks like @DianeJamesMEP is on verge of resigning as UKIP leader due to her husbands ill health. More to follow. — Darren McCaffrey (@darrenmccaffrey)…

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Remember when devaluations of the pound were a big political deal? No more it seems.

4/10/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

The BREXIT devaluation is hardly being noticed The pound has fared poorly on the foreign exchange markets since TMay’s speech on Sunday setting out her plans to extract the UK from the EU with the aim to invoke Article 50 in March next year. From a peak of about $1.50 to the pound on June 23rd it has now fallen below through the $1.30 market and has touched $1.27. In previous times whenever there’s been such a movement it has…

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Trump 4% ahead in Ohio. Must be time for the Guardian to repeat its Ohio don’t vote for the Republican stunt

4/10/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Guardian Oct 18 2004 The above sets out what turned out to be a misguided attempt by the Guardian ahead of the 2004 Bush Kerry fight to involve its UK readers more closely in the contest. This was in the year after the Iraq war and the paper sought to get readers to write and email to US voters in Clark County in Ohio to express their feelings about the race which, as you can imagine, were strongly anti-Bush. 11k…

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Ex-top Trump aide says expect a big anti-Clinton Wikileaks revelation on Wednesday

3/10/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Wednesday@HillaryClinton is done. #Wikileaks. — Roger Stone (@RogerJStoneJr) October 2, 2016 Will it live up to its billing? This is the latest in this extraordinary White House battle. Only problem with trailing like this is that it could blunt the impact if its not quite as sensational as being suggested. We shall see but there’s still five weeks of this campaign still to go. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

TMay needs a sizeable CON majority in Witney to deal with the “unelected PM” taunts

3/10/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

A good by-election result will also reinforce her BREXIT strategy It is not TMay’s fault that she ended up as CON leader and PM without having to go through a membership ballot. Once Andrea Leadsom pulled out on that memorable Monday morning there was no further obstacle and she was assured of the leadership and the keys of Number 10. She just avoided several weeks of hustings, TV debates and campaigning which would allowed a much greater scrutiny of her…

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Clive Lewis can be Labour’s future if he plays his cards right

3/10/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

The Shadow Defence Secretary is one to watch after a good conference says Keiran Pedley. On this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast I was joined by Leo Barasi and Rob Vance to discuss Labour’s future. You can find the episode below. After a thumping re-election victory Jeremy Corbyn looks here to stay and we discussed where Labour goes from here. Emotions are strong on all sides but clearly some form of accommodation between the leadership and Labour MPs will need to…

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