New Opinium pollCON 41% +1LAB 29% -3UKIP 12%LD 7% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 19, 2016 Another polling blow for LAB on the economy this time from Opinium for ObserverTrust inCorbyn /McDonnell 18%May/Hammond 44% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 19, 2016 As each month goes by the next election gets closer
Very few referendum voters have changed their minds As we get closer to the PM’s target invoke Article 50 date of March 31st we are going to get a lot more polling like that above. The fact is that the June 23rd outcome was very close, LEAVE chalked up 1.89% more than the 50% required for victory, and the nation remains split. The big issue in the next couple of weeks will be the Supreme Court hearing on whether the…
And where would that leave the Brexit process? A weary-sounding Jean-Claude Juncker told students in his home state of Luxembourg last week that “we will need to teach the president-elect [i.e. Donald Trump] what Europe is and how it works”. In doing so, he erred badly, not for the first time. You can hear the derision dripping from the words, as, no doubt can the chief occupant of Trump Tower; not someone known for brushing off condescension. If Juncker is…
In August PB was able to have its own YouGov favourability ratings. I am pleased to say that we are now in a position to go forward with a similar survey. Last time we had:- Barack Obama Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Vladimir Putin Angela Merkel Conservative Party Labour Party Liberal Democrats UKIP SNP Theresa May Boris Johnson David Davis Phillip Hammond Jeremy Corbyn Tim Farron David Cameron MPs generally Your MP Clearly some of these are no longer relevant although…
YouGov: LDs could edge in front of LAB if it was only party with such a promise We all remember how in late 2002 and 2003 that the IDS-led Tories gave their backing to Blair’s invasion of Iraq. The Charles Kennedy-led LDs were the only national party to oppose and this stance stance helped them to their best ever performance at GE2005. We’ve now got a similar situation with BREXIT. May’s Tories have totally dished the idea and Labour’s position,…
Abbey (Green defence) on Bath and North East Somerset Result of council at last election (2015): Conservatives 37, Liberal Democrats 15, Labour 6, Independents 5, Green Party 2 (Conservative majority of 9) Result of ward at last election (2015): Emboldened denotes elected Conservatives 1,158, 985 (30%) Green Party 1,071 (28%) Liberal Democrats 798, 741 (21%) Labour 639 (17%) Independent 148 (4%) EU Referendum Result: REMAIN 60,878 (58%), LEAVE 44,352 (42%) on a turnout of 77% Candidates duly nominated: Gerry Curran…
All political careers end in failure… Theresa May, Corbyn, Trump – Prime Minister, LOTO, POTUS. All going well for them. For now.. 10) Marco Rubio: He was the perfect GOP candidate, smart young and hispanic. The perfect foil to win the key state of Florida… The GOP primaries started off with a bang for little Marco when he scored an amazing third place in Iowa. The pundits were stunned “It shouldn’t be possible” they cried. People rushed to back him…
Looking at the process and the politics The man whose business methods can be charitably described as unconventional will take over the most powerful and most heavily scrutinised job in the world on 20 January next. Will his tenure end in impeachment? BetFred are offering 5/1 that “Trump will be successfully impeached by 2020”. History of Presidential impeachment No US President has been impeached and removed from office. Serious proceedings have been launched against three Presidents, Andrew Johnson in 1868, Richard…