Very few referendum voters have changed their minds
As we get closer to the PM’s target invoke Article 50 date of March 31st we are going to get a lot more polling like that above. The fact is that the June 23rd outcome was very close, LEAVE chalked up 1.89% more than the 50% required for victory, and the nation remains split.
The big issue in the next couple of weeks will be the Supreme Court hearing on whether the Royal Prerogative can be used to trigger the process. The big development this week is that the Scottish and Welsh governments have been joined to the action sparking of the speculation that Nicola Sturgeon could have a veto.
On the betting front William Hill are now making it odds-on, 4/6, that TMay won’t be able to trigger Article 50 before her end March deadline.