By-Election Results both local and Westminster: December 1st 2016

By-Election Results both local and Westminster: December 1st 2016

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It wasn’t just in Richmond Park where the yellows had success Richmond Park (Ind defence, elected as Conservative) to Westminster Parliament Result: Liberal Democrat 20,510 (50% +31%), Independent 18,638 (45% -13% on Conservative), Labour 1,515 (4% -8%), Loony Party 184 (0%, no candidate in 2015), Independent Conservative 173 (0%, no candidate in 2015), Christian People’s Alliance 164 (0%, no candidate in 2015), One Love Party 67 (0%, no candidate in 2015), Non Party Independent 32 (0%, no candidate in 2015)…

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The LDs overturn Zac’s 23k majority with a lead of 1,872

The LDs overturn Zac’s 23k majority with a lead of 1,872

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https://twitter.com/jimwaterson/status/804510012672536576 Sarah Olney (LD) 20,510 (49.68%, +30.41%) Zac Goldsmith (Ind) 18,638 (45.15%) Christian Wolmar (Lab) 1,515 (3.67%, -8.68%) Howling Laud Hope (Loony) 184 (0.45%) Fiona Syms (Ind) 173 (0.42%) Dominic Stockford (CPA) 164 (0.40%) Maharaja Jammu and Kashmir (Love) 67 (0.16%) David Powell (ND) 32 (0.08%) LD maj 1,872 (4.53%) Zac’s gamble fails That’s a fantastic result for the yellows and a tragic result for Zac Goldsmith who, of course, was beaten in the London Mayoral race last May. The…

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Tonight’s local and Westminster by-election preview

Tonight’s local and Westminster by-election preview

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Richmond Park (Ind defence, elected as Conservative) to Westminster Parliament Result of Parliament at last election (2015): Conservatives 331, Labour 232, Scottish National Party 56, Northern Ireland Parties 18, Liberal Democrats 8, Plaid Cymru 3, Green Party 1, United Kingdom Independence Party 1 (Conservative majority of 12) Result of constituency at last election (2015): Conservative 34,404 (58%), Liberal Democrat 11,389 (19%), Labour 7,296 (12%), Green Party 3,548 (6%), United Kingdom Independence Party 2,464 (4%) EU Referendum Result (Borough): REMAIN 75,396…

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New entrant Ed Balls moves immediately to 3rd place in latest YouGov favourability ratings

New entrant Ed Balls moves immediately to 3rd place in latest YouGov favourability ratings

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Both Theresa May & Corbyn see drops Here they are – the latest YouGov favourability ratings, the polling where the site has chosen who/what should be included. The first time we did this was in August and since then all the UK politicians have seen net drops. Ed Balls, included after his Strictly successes, was not part of the August list. In the summer TMay was still enjoying her honeymoon and had a net +12%. That’s now down to +5%…

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Whatever the outcome tonight Richmond Park could herald a political period where BREXIT is more important than parties

Whatever the outcome tonight Richmond Park could herald a political period where BREXIT is more important than parties

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Would the Tories stand aside in a seat where UKIP was 2nd behind LAB . Today’s Richmond Park by-election highlights a very new development in British politics where the main issue of the day, BREXIT and its implementation, have become more important than parties. UKIP’s decision to stand aside in Richmond Park as well as the similar move by the Greens on the other side of the argument could mark something very different from what we are used to. At…

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The Lib Dems could be making a massive mistake claiming they’re on target to win Richmond Park tomorrow

The Lib Dems could be making a massive mistake claiming they’re on target to win Richmond Park tomorrow

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The Guardian What would be good result getting very close will be seen as a failure The big news on this final day of campaigning in the Richmond Park by-election is that the Lib Dems are claiming that they are ahead. According to data made available to the Guardian the party’s current projection is: Goldsmith 45.8% LIB Dems 47.2% LAB 6.2% As I’ve argued previously you should treat all data like this as coming from a partisan source and should…

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TMay moves to negative ratings in Scotland while fewer Scots now back independence than at the 2014 referendum

TMay moves to negative ratings in Scotland while fewer Scots now back independence than at the 2014 referendum

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Given the huge importance of Scotland as the UK moves towards BREXIT there’s a new Scotland only YouGov poll – the first since August. These are some of the key points:- New YouGov Scottish poll for Times finds support for independence down to 44% – lower than it was at the Sept 2014 referendum — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 30, 2016 TMay sees sharp YouGov ratings drop in Scotland. To the doing job well/badly question she's moved from net PLUS…

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