Browsed by
Category: US Politics

Will Osama be captured BEFORE Americans vote?

Will Osama be captured BEFORE Americans vote?

Betting on the Osama Bin Laden – George W. Bush double If you are tired of boring odds-on favourites in the political markets how about a bet that links George W. Bush’s re-election as US President on November 2nd with the capture of Osama Bin Laden? So many people are saying that Osama will be miraculously “found” just before the US election that there is now a healthy betting market on just this proposition. On the the Irish-based US-focussed betting…

Read More Read More

Bet365 squeezes its “absurd” General Election Odds

Bet365 squeezes its “absurd” General Election Odds

But the bookies undercut Betfair in the big political markets Let’s hope that more than a few Politicalbetting.com users were able to take advantage of the Bet365 UK General Election seat price market yesterday which one reader described as “absurd”. As we pointed out in the Monday Call, the prices were completely out of alignment with what other bookmakers and the betting exchanges were doing and, indeed with what they themselves were offering in the main General Election market. The…

Read More Read More

Sticking with our John Kerry Call

Sticking with our John Kerry Call

It’s down to Bush’s lack of popularity Four years ago we backed George W. Bush at substantially better than evens to win the 2000 White House race because we felt that he had more voter appeal to many Americans than Al Gore. As it turned out we should have lost that bet but we didn’t. Now comes the opportunity to bet on him again but we are not sticking with Bush for the same reason – we do not think…

Read More Read More

It’s not the local elections that could mark the end for Blair

It’s not the local elections that could mark the end for Blair

If Tony Blair is to be forced from office by the result of an election then the one that takes place in the US on November 2 is likely to have a bigger impact than coming third behind the Lib Dems in this year’s local polls. Certainly Thursday’s drubbing will provide further fuel for those in the Labour party who want him out. And, of course, there have been the rumours for months that at the famous Admiralty Arch dinner…

Read More Read More

Bookmaker withdraws from John McCain market

Bookmaker withdraws from John McCain market

We hope that more than a few Politicalbetting.com users managed to get some money on at 14-1 with PaddyPower on the Republican Senator, John McCain, becoming the Vice-Presidential running mate of John Kerry. Only a few hours after our post on Friday evening McCain’s name was deleted from the list of “runners” and now PaddyPower seems to have left the market all together. This is a real problem with this site. If a good value bet is spotted and we…

Read More Read More

Are the chances of this being the White House ticket better than 14-1?

Are the chances of this being the White House ticket better than 14-1?

Republican Senator John McCain sharing a platform with the Democrat’s John Kerry With all bets you have to ask yourself whether the possiblity of something happening is greater than the odds that are available. With just seven weeks to go before the Democratic party convention in Boston an online bookmaker has now opened a market on who the Democratic contender, John Kerry, will choose as his running mate. The favourite at the moment is John Edwards – the youthful Senator…

Read More Read More

Why we think John Kerry will win

Why we think John Kerry will win

Unlike almost all the other political betting markets that we comment on we have refrained from making a call on the eventual result of the 2004 US Presidential Election because we have not had a clear view. But now we have come to the conclusion that Senator John Kerry can and will win in November. What has persuaded us is the view that Kerry will not win the election; Bush will lose it. The lacklustre performance of Kerry to date…

Read More Read More

Why are women voters spurning Blair and Bush?

Why are women voters spurning Blair and Bush?

A big gap is opening up on both sides of the Atlantic between men and women over their support for the incumbent political leaders. Both Bush and Blair are supported more by men than women and in recent months this trend has become more pronounced. A BBC report this week quoted Deborah Mattinson, Opinion Leader Research as saying that many older female voters were disillusioned with the political process and the Labour government in particular. “Back in 1997 it was…

Read More Read More