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Category: US Politics

Big US-UK split on the outcome of the White House Race

Big US-UK split on the outcome of the White House Race

Betting on the US Presidential election in the UK is now totally out of alignment with betting markets serving the US. If you want to bet on Bush do it in the US – for Kerry then bet in the UK. The Bush returns in the US are now almost double those in the UK and the prices have never been so far apart. British punters are taking a much more pessimistic view of Kerry’s chances and this provides really…

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Kerry’s poll ratings hold firm & it’s neck and neck in the betting

Kerry’s poll ratings hold firm & it’s neck and neck in the betting

The White House race gets dirtier and dirtier The Democratic ticket is holding firm in the polls with a clear lead in most of them after a sustained and well funded attack in an attempt to undermine John Kerry’s status as a Vietnam war hero. A big New York Times investigation has sought to establish the truth behind the “Swift Boat Vertans for Truth”, who has been funding the TV commercials and features some remarkable revelations. It states:- Records show…

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The White House Race – Now it gets tough [Next planned update – Monday]

The White House Race – Now it gets tough [Next planned update – Monday]

Punters should hold their nerve on John Kerry After the euphoria of the Boston Convention John Kerry has been moving in and out of favourite position in the UK as the polls have reported differing messages on the impact of his formal nomination last week. We stick by our CALL on Kerry, first made nearly three months ago and repeated nearly twenty times since but we think that it’s going to be a tough August for the Democrat contender. Betting…

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Betting Boosted by the Boston Bounce

Betting Boosted by the Boston Bounce

John Kerry and John Edwards – looking to maximise their appeal After Day Two of the Boston Convention the Kerry-Edwards ticket for the Democratic nomination is just nosing ahead ahead of Bush in the betting markets as the expected Boston bounce takes effect. The Betfair betting exchange has, at time of posting, Kerry at 20/21 against 1/1 for Bush. With most UK bookmakers the Kerry price has tightened to 5/6, the same as Bush. In the US the Iowa Electronic…

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Boost for Kerry in White House Polls

Boost for Kerry in White House Polls

A big boost for the Kerry-Edward ticket in the White House race by the latest crop of polls. These are the first surveys since the Vice-Presidential choice was announced and John Kerry must be delighted at the way Americans are responding. In the NBC News poll Kerry-Edwards are beating Bush-Cheney by 49-41. Other polls have smaller margins but there is a clear gap between the two tickets. UK betting prices on Kerry have tightened during the week although you can…

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Market Movers in the US and UK

Market Movers in the US and UK

It’s an indication of how far John Kerry has come that betting prices on the Democrats taking the White House have more than halved, and those on the Republicans have more than doubled, since the start of the year when the long process of selecting a nominee began. Following yesterday’s announcement about John Edwards being the running mate there’s been a further hardening of the John Kerry odds which are very close to evens on both sides of the Atlantic….

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Kerry price hardens after V-P announcement

Kerry price hardens after V-P announcement

John Edwards on the ticket pushes Kerry price towards evens Today’s news that the North Carolina Senator, John Edwards, will be John Kerry’s running mate for the Presidential election on November 2nd has led to big money going on the Deomcrats with consquential price changes. The move is not a surprise and the Edwards price had been the favourite for months after his excellent performance in the primaries. One or two UK bookmakers still have Kerry at 11/10 but all…

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“None of the above” – 7/2 second favourite for V-P choice

“None of the above” – 7/2 second favourite for V-P choice

John Kerry – Keeping them Guessing With just over three weeks to go before the Democratic Convention in Boston there’s speculation that the certain nominee, John Kerry, will announce who he has chosen as his running mate so the the two can appear together at an important fundraiser in New York on Thursday. Interest in who will be chosen is building because the polls still have him and Bush neck and neck. The handover of power in Iraq has had…

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