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Category: US Politics

Does Obama need a longer race?

Does Obama need a longer race?

How will the GOP’s likely choice affect the Democratic race? With the Republican looking set to select John McCain as their nominee for November’s election there will be increasing focus on the Obama-Clinton battle? Will we get a clear picture after next Tuesday’s mass of primaries and caucuses or could this be spun out over many months? David Broder of the Washington Post looks at the dynamics this morning and suggests that the longer the Democrats take to decide the…

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Will McCain be able to beat either of them?

Will McCain be able to beat either of them?

The above are the latest head to head numbers from the excellent Real Clear Politics site and show what happens when John McCain is put against either Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama. As can be seen the 71 year old beats both of them on the RCP average which is updated daily. The latest figures are very much affected by the Rasmussen numbers showing the GOP man with a substantial margin over the two Democratic party possibilities. In its previous…

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Is McCain’s bid “like a woman having a baby in her late 50s?”

Is McCain’s bid “like a woman having a baby in her late 50s?”

Newsweek raises the age question After his sensational victory in the Florida GOP primary overnight John McCain has become an even more firm odds-on favourite to take the nomination. By 0430 GMT the Betfair price in response to the result had tightened to 0.15/1 which given the fact the the market won’t be settled until September looks crazy. You only bet at such odds-on prices when the market will be resolved in a few days – to lock up your…

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Is this where McCain will virtually clinch it?

Is this where McCain will virtually clinch it?

…or will the Romney money machine seize victory? And so the next US election night on Politicalbetting. This time it’s Florida, the biggest state to decide so far and the one that has seen the most fierce battles for the GOP crown. The Democratic party does have an election but because, like Michigan a fortnight ago, the state defied the national party on the timing what’s decided by today’s voting will not count. However if it the delegate count between…

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How much damage is Dick Morris doing to the Clintons?

How much damage is Dick Morris doing to the Clintons?

Just two months before the presidential election in 1996 dick Morris, the man who went on to advise UKIP for their Euro-Election campaign in 2004, appeared on the front page of Time magazine alongside Bill Clinton who was, of course, running for a second term. Now he has become, arguably, the fiercest critic of the couple through his blog, through press articles and TV appearances. He’s the one that gets asked to comment on his former client’s campaign style and…

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Is this now a clash of the Democratic Dynasties?

Is this now a clash of the Democratic Dynasties?

How will Kennedy’s endorsement affect the race? The excellent US Politico site is reporting that a major battle has been going on between the Obama and Clinton camps over plans by Ted Kennedy to appear on a platform with Barack Obama today and give his blessing to the Illinois senator in the fight for the Democratic nomination. The importance of the move can be measured by the efforts that the Clinton campaign has made to try to stop Kennedy making…

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Should your money be on the man with money?

Should your money be on the man with money?

Will it be the wealthiest contender who gets the GOP prize? After Florida on Tuesday the whole nature of the battle for the Democratic and Republican nominations changes and, more than at any stage so far, the importance of money to fund a campaign becomes critical. For a week on Tuesday there will be primaries in states that make up nearly half the population of the US and it’s going to be very hard to make a big impact across…

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Who’ll come out of South Carolina on top?

Who’ll come out of South Carolina on top?

Will Obama get the breadth of support that he needs? With the polling stations in South Carolina due to close at 7pm ET (0000 GMT) there is not long to wait for the next chapter in the extraordinary drama of this year’s bitter contest for the Democratic nomination. For Obama tonight is pretty crucial. Not only does he need to carry the state with an emphatic margin he needs to show as well that his support is more broadly based…

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