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Category: US Politics

Are you ready for the long night?

Are you ready for the long night?

Welcome to another election night on PBC This is it – the biggest political night since the 2004 Presidential Election – and it looks set to be a cliff hanger that will continue right through until tomorrow morning – UK time. To help us all this is how Politicalwire sees tonight’s Democratic races:- Advantage Clinton: Arkansas, New York, New Jersey, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Tennessee Advantage Obama: Alabama, Colorado, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Minnesota, Kansas, North Dakota No Clear Favorite: Alaska, Arizona,…

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Was today designed solely to make Hillary President?

Was today designed solely to make Hillary President?

Should Clinton have been confirmed as nominee this week? If you have any doubt about the planning and sheer determination that has gone into Hillary’s campaign for the White House then you should look at an article at Real Clear Politics by Robert Novak. For the whole point of concertinaing the primary timetable to create “Super Tuesday” was to blast out the competition so that Clinton could effectively secure the nomination this week. Then all the effort could be focused…

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Do tactical voters hold the key to Super Tuesday?

Do tactical voters hold the key to Super Tuesday?

Could McCain’s supporters think its safe to switch elections? An aspect of the US primary system that is probably a surprise to many outside the country is the extent to which in many states independents and supporters of the opposing party can decide to vote in a different election. So today, as we finally arrive at “Super Tuesday”, a factor we have to look at is whether this will happen and how it could affect the results. So with John…

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Will there be a new favourite on Wednesday morning?

Will there be a new favourite on Wednesday morning?

…or will Barack’s polling surge turn out to be like New Hampshire? I detect a real sense of nervousness amongst punters about the latest round of US polling ahead of Super Tuesday. After what appeared a certain win for Obama in New Hampshire four weeks ago there has been a, perhaps, natural reluctance to get swept away by the latest moves to Obama in the Democratic race. Yet the growing support for the black Senator from Illinois in both national…

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Super Tuesday – it looks like a cliff-hanger

Super Tuesday – it looks like a cliff-hanger

Obama almost catching up in the national polls The above polls, reproduced from Taegan Goddard’s Politicalwire show the latest polling figures from many of the states which will be having their primaries on the day. As can be seen the Clinton-Obama shares in many places are converging. It’s the same picture nationally where the latest Gallup tracking poll shows Clinton locked in a statistical tie with Obama, 46% to 44%. Given that yesterday’s Gallup tracker had Clinton 7% ahead then…

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Guest slot: Ben Surtees previews Tsunami Tuesday

Guest slot: Ben Surtees previews Tsunami Tuesday

So will we be any wiser on Wednesday? Super Tuesday, Super Duper Tuesday, Giga Tuesday, Tsunami Tuesday, The Tuesday of Destiny, even by the standards of the US media there has been a healthy amount of hyperbole used to describe the string primaries and caucuses being staged on Tuesday Febuary 5th. To a certain extent, the hype is justified, while primary campaigns since the 1980’s have seen “Super Tuesdays” with many states holding simultaneous primaries or caucuses none have approached…

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Will it be best for the Dems if it’s resolved quickly?

Will it be best for the Dems if it’s resolved quickly?

Will the Republicans benefit by deciding first? The final clause of the concluding paragraph of the main leader in the Independent this morning reflects a sentiment that I guess a lot of site visitors totally agree with. Looking forward to next week the paper notes: On Tuesday, these two thrilling contests go nationwide. We hanker after a McCain-Obama match in November, but our more immediate interest – and surely that of US voters – is in any result that keeps…

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Now Hillary’s Wal-Mart past get’s dragged up

Now Hillary’s Wal-Mart past get’s dragged up

Could this undermine union support? With just five days to go to Super Tuesday some video tapes of Hillary in her role as a director of Wal-Mart in the late 80s and early 90s have “emerged” and are being given prominent coverage by ABC News. Funny that the tapes being discovered now – anybody would think someone was planning a hatchet job. Hillary’s problem is that the company has built up a reputation for being fiercely anti-union going to great…

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