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Can West Virginia do anything to the Dem race?

Can West Virginia do anything to the Dem race?

..Or have we passed the game-changing moment? Another Tuesday evening and another primary in the race for the Democratic nomination. This time it’s in West Virginia which decides the fate of 28 delegates. The state’s demographics look good for former First Lady and it’s possible that she could finish up in the 60s with Obama down in the 20s. But will it matter? For it’s beginning to look as though last Tuesday’s North Carolina and Indiana primaries finally closed the…

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Is Oregon a certain win for Obama?

Is Oregon a certain win for Obama?

   Picture of Obama rally in Portland by Photoscott    Does Clinton stand a chance of winning Oregon? Following her triumph in Pennsylvania on the 22nd April and an effective tie in Guam on May 3rd, but having suffered difficult headlines since last Tuesday in Indiana and North Carolina, Hillary Clinton will need to build momentum quickly to prevent a hemorrhaging of Superdelegates to Barack Obama. She has the potential to rally her flagging campaign with solid wins in West…

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How much longer will this continue?

How much longer will this continue?

         Will this be over before the Convention in Denver? If the Superdelegates are reluctant to  finish this race before the final states, Montana and South Dakota, have their say on June 3rd, then it seems likely that Clinton has almost another month in this race. She will almost certainly lose on pledged delegates and is unlikely to win the popular vote either, but is refusing to step aside. Many have speculated that the Superdelegates are disinclined to side with one party…

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“Is John McCain Bob Dole?”

“Is John McCain Bob Dole?”

Could the GOP be repeating the mistake of 1996? Anybody thinking of betting on John McCain for the White House should take a look at one or two articles recently that have started to draw parallels between his presidential bid and the last time the Republicans chose a candidate in his early 70s – Bob Dole. Like McCain Bob Dole is a war hero having won two purple hearts and one bronze star. Only a few weeks before the German…

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Will Indiana Prove To Be Decisive?

Will Indiana Prove To Be Decisive?

Morus looks ahead to the Hoosier state as the Democrat endgame approaches Whilst all eyes are on Pennsylvania on the 22nd April, there are a number of primaries being held within a couple of weeks of that contest which could still yet have an impact on Clinton’s pending decision to fight or concede. Although Obama has recently drawn very close in the PA polls, it would be a massive surprise for Clinton to lose this primary, although the odds suggest…

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Victory for PBC punters over the PaddyPower Kansas bet

Victory for PBC punters over the PaddyPower Kansas bet

The Irish bookie relents and the winners get paid out On Tuesday Peter the Punter (Peter Smith) reported on a battle that he had had with the Irish bookmaker, PaddyPower, over a bet on Mike Huckabee in the GOP caucus in Kansas on February 9th when Mitt Romney was priced as the hot favourite to take the state. It will be recalled that the first indication here of a possible upset came at 8.11pm (GMT) with Jfsl posting – “Fox…

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Paddy Power, Mike Huckabee and a Voided Bet

Paddy Power, Mike Huckabee and a Voided Bet

A cautionary tale from Peter the Punter Take care, political punters. The bets you think you may have struck with bookmakers may not be as watertight as you think. In the Republican Caucus for Kansas held on Feb 9th 2008, Mitt Romney was hot favorite to win ahead of his main rival, Mike Huckabee. The first indication on this Site of a possible upset came at 8.11pm (GMT) with Jfsl posting at 165 – “Fox predicting Huckabee will win Kansas.”…

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How can McCain deal with the Bush linkage?

How can McCain deal with the Bush linkage?

Just over a fortnight ago I suggested that the picture of John McCain being hugged by George Bush might come to haunt him. Well within two days of him securing the GOP nomination it is already starting. Above is Democratic party general election ad seeking to get over the close links between Bush and McCain. The closing sequence is that hugging picture. The linkage with Bush that his opponents are trying to establish will be one of the key determinants…

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