Online Market on Leicester South is opened – and then closed After days of waiting William Hill opened their online market on the Leicester South by-election today and then, a short time later they withdrew it. This is the page you get now on the event. This is the page you got earlier in the day. We are trying to clarify the position but we can only assume that so much money was going on one of the “runners” that…
Which party is dominating the web? Those who bet on politics on the internet are going to have to wait a day or so before markets on the Leicester South and Birmingham Hodge Hill by-elections are available online but we are assured that they will be there. The latest odds are:- Leicester South- LIBD 6/5: LAB 6/4: CON 11/4 Birmingham Hodge Hill – LAB 8/13: LIBD 11/8: CON 10/1 Meanwhile political gamblers might want to assess the political party machines…
Post updated 12.15 pm Will this be the scene a week on Thursday? At last – betting has now started on the Leicester South by-election and the current prices, from William Hill, are almost exactly in line with what Politicalbetting.com predicted here last Saturday. The market, together with one for the other by-election on July 15 at Birmigham Hodge Hill will be available online later today. The current Leicester South prices are:- LIBD 6/5 down from 11/8 after a £1,000…
Can Labour hold on? Can the Tories show that they are on the way back? Can the Lib Dems jump from third to first? When will the betting markets open? This weekend huge numbers of Tory, Lib Dem and Labour party activists from all over the country will be heading for Leicester South where the parliamentary by-election has been set for July 15. Michael Howard has already become a frequent visitor. This will be a tough three-way fight and the…
Post Updated Sunday – 0530 But be careful about rushing in to bet Unsurprisingly two opinion polls this morning show that a big majority of UK voters would vote NO in the planned referendum on the EU Constitution that was agreed in Brussels on Friday. YouGov for the Sunday Times has 23% in favour to 49% against. An ICM poll, commissioned by the non-party NO campaign, has 28% in favour to 57% against. But political gamblers should be very wary…
A week on from the London Mayoral Election and our abortive call you cannot but admire what an extraordinary politician Ken Livingstone is. Looking at the results again the striking feature is that more than a third of all those who gave Ken their first preference did not vote Labour in the London Assembly election at the same time. They were voting for the man and not the party. To work out why all you have to do is get…
We originally made our call on the London Mayor when Ken Livingstone was 21% ahead in the polls and when there was no threat that the Tory vote would be split by the rise of UKIP. As it has turned out the margin on first preferences was 7.46%. We thought it was going to be much closer and that the prices offered good value but in the end Ken came through. Looking at it we can only conclude that it…
If it was not for the YouGov poll on SkyNews taken during the day on Thursday we would be confidently predicting a victory for Steve Norris in the London Mayoral Election – the result of which will be announced later in the day. The BBC prediction based on the local elections results thoughout England has the following vote split:- CON 38% LAB 26% LIBd 30% This is the first time that a governing party at Westminster has been forced into…