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Category: UK Elections – others

The apparent greater enthusiasm amongst Ukip supporters could be reflected in the May 2nd locals where the Tories are the most vulnerable

The apparent greater enthusiasm amongst Ukip supporters could be reflected in the May 2nd locals where the Tories are the most vulnerable

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A factor driving Ukip in the national polls. Their supporters are much more likely to say”100% certain to vote” twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 20, 2013 Ladbrokes open the first market on the May 2 locals. It’s 5/2 that UKIP gain 100+ seats. bit.ly/c5gpH6 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 20, 2013 Just how many seats will the purples win? The big talking point at last night’s PB gathering at Dirty Dicks in London was how many seats will Ukip…

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Henry G Manson on the LAB effort to take away the Tories most prized northern asset – the N Tyneside mayoralty

Henry G Manson on the LAB effort to take away the Tories most prized northern asset – the N Tyneside mayoralty

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EdM on ferry crossing the Tyne to support campaign to win back for LAB the North Tyneside mayoralty from the Tories twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 19, 2013 Henry G Manson on an intriguing battle There has been some discussion this week on the strength of didn’t women MPs in the Conservative Party and in Labour with some wondering if there will be another ‘Margaret’ in the near future. I can’t spot many, although a couple of years ago…

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The known unknown in this year’s local elections: Ukip contesting more than 70 percent of the seats

The known unknown in this year’s local elections: Ukip contesting more than 70 percent of the seats

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Ukip could beat the LDs on votes Each year the Rallings and Thrasher electoral analysis duo from the University of Plymouth set out their predictions for the May local elections. Much of it is based on their assessment of national vote from the local by-elections that we now monitor on PB every week. This’s year’s “unveiling” was due to take place at a special briefing organised by the Political Studies Association for Wednesday. That has been postponed because of the…

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Ukip could be contesting 70 percent of the council seats up for election on May 2

Ukip could be contesting 70 percent of the council seats up for election on May 2

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Back in 2009 the Ukip proportion was about one in five Over the next couple of days we should see the full nomination list for the council seats that are due to be contested on May 2nd and the big focus is on how many candidates Ukip will manage to field. For given what’s been happening in recent council by-elections the presence of Ukip on the ballot forms can have a big impact on outcomes. Given that the Tories are…

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It’s Thursday night and Harry Hayfield’s local by-election preview

It’s Thursday night and Harry Hayfield’s local by-election preview

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Adeyfield West on Dacorum (Lab Defence) Last Local Election (2011): Con 43, Lib Dem 6, Lab 2 (Conservative majority of 35) Last Election (2011): Con 1,213 (43%) Lab  1,203 (43%) Lib Dem 413 (15%)   There are several councils across the United Kingdom whose names do not give you much of a clue as to where they are in the world. For instance, just where is Babergh in East Anglia, does anyone know where the Vale of the White Horse…

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At the May 2nd locals the Tories will be defending twice as many seats as LAB and the LDs combined

At the May 2nd locals the Tories will be defending twice as many seats as LAB and the LDs combined

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The 2013 locals – look at how the Tories are defending the most and have most to lose.en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Ki… twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 5, 2013 This could/should be the big chance for Farage’s Ukip On Thursday May 2nd the Tories face a massive test at this year’s local elections. The Wikipedia infographic sets it out – the blues will be defending 1.531 seats, the LDs 484 and Labour a paltry 178. The vast bulk of contests will be for…

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The PB Thursday night local elections special

The PB Thursday night local elections special

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Harry Hayfield previews the contests   Gainsborough East on West Lindsey (Lib Dem defence) Last Council Election (2011): Con 21, Lib Dem 11, Ind 3, Lab 2 (Conservative majority of 5) Last Election Result (2011): Lib Dem 1,532 (57%) Con 745 (28%) Lab 422 (16%)   West Lindsey is in the heart of the Lincolnshire Wolds and as such you would expect it to be a Conservative bastion (indeed the parliamentary constituency of Gainsborough is one of the safest Conservative…

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The PB Thursday night local elections special

The PB Thursday night local elections special

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Harry Hayfield previews the contests   Village on Stockton on Tees (Ind Defence) Last Local Elections (2011): Lab 27, Ind 13, Con 12, Lib Dem 4. No Overall Control (Labour short by 2) Result at last election (2011): Ind 2,109 (54%) Lab 1,251 (32%) Con 438 (11%) Lib Dem 116 (3%) With a name such as Village, it should come as no surprise to hear that this ward lies in Stockton South constituency (one of the few in the north…

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