Betfair suspend next President market Big news in the last few minutes is that Trump has Tweeted that he and his wife have tested positive for coronavirus. This is what he wrote: Earlier in the night he had Tweeted that they were having a test. Clearly this will impact on the betting and Betfair have just suspended their next President market.
There’s been a huge amount of commentary and analysis following the overnight first Trump-Biden debate ahead of the November election. One of the best pieces is by David Frum in The Atlantic: Trump yelled, threatened, interrupted—and changed nothing. All he did was confirm the horror and revulsion of the large American majority that has already begun to cast its ballots against him. Correction: Trump did one thing. On the Cleveland stage, Trump communicated that he will seize any opportunity to…
Overnight in the US, starting at 2am BST, is the first TV debate between Trump and Biden. This is a huge moment and could set the narrative for the remaining five weeks before election day. A TV audience of of tens of millions is expected A key plank of the Trump campaign in recent months has been to try to suggest that 77 year old Biden does not have the mental capacity to be President. This means that they’ve set…
A lot of activity today on the WH2020 betting markets following the publication by the New York Times of Trump’s tax returns. As can be seen from above Trump is edging downwards while Biden moves up. There’s little doubt that this will feature a lot tomorrow night when the first TV debate takes place. No doubt the president’s campaign team are working on possible responses at the moment. For the fact that the man who boasted of being a billionaire…
This bombshell comes on the eve of the first WH2020 TV debate With polling day in the US just five weeks and one day away a huge development this morning is a New York Times investigation into the incumbent’s tax affairs – something that he has fought hard to avoid being made public. This is how the paper sums up what it found: Donald J. Trump paid $750 in federal income taxes the year he won the presidency. In his…
We are just 5 weeks and 5 days away from the presidential election and the striking thing is how solid Biden’s lead has been in the national polls as shown in the chart above. There’s been hardly any variation and this is currently being supported by some good swing state polling suggesting that that he could be in a strong position when the votes are finally counted. The latest move in the election, the Republican effort to fill quickly the…
There’s a great analysis on Politico on some of the demographic trends being seen in the latest polling on the White House race: Trump’s rhetoric does not appear to be resonating with white America to the degree that he did in 2016. That year, whites cast nearly three-quarters of the vote nationally, and Trump won those voters by about 15 percentage points, according to Pew. Four years later, Biden has torn into that advantage, though to what degree is uncertain….
Ladbrokes have a super six market of states, of these six, Arizona, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas, how many will Trump win. To be honest I’m not seeing any value here and see this as a market that will pay for the bonuses for those who compile the odds for markets like this. If you were to work out the accumulator odds for all individual six states to be won by Trump using the odds offered by Ladbrokes…