Biden’s poll lead over Trump is getting wider and his betting position remains strong
And in the betting
Biden moves up even more in the WH2020 betting with latest polls giving him double digit leads
It has been a remarkably good few days for Joe Biden in the White House race betting as can be seen in the chart above. He is now as strong a favourite as he ever has been with the money going on him and punters becoming more sceptical about the incumbent. This has been a period, of course, which has been dominated by the huge demonstrations across America and even the world following the murder by the police of the…
The case for betting on a Trump victory in November
A guest slot from Mr. Ed on Why he thinks the President will be re-elected If you don’t want Trump to win in November (which I think is most people on this site), then there is plenty of data out there to give you hope. The RCP national polling average has Biden’s lead over Trump at +7.1%. In key swing states, the RCP average also shows Biden leading in all 5 (FL, PA, WI, NC, AZ) and polls have suggested…
Trump 2024: the game’s changed and a third term is possible
The norms, expectations and opportunities of American politics are changing Let’s get ahead of ourselves. I do not expect Donald Trump to win a second term and neither do punters betting hard cash. At the time of writing, he was just over 2.2 on Betfair to win November’s election and marginally odds against with traditional bookies. I think that’s still a bit short. Trump’s job approval figures have just dropped to a seven-month low (albeit within quite a small range),…
Sewage and sewerage. New media and news
There’s always a tweet. Donald Trump had long baited the public through his twitter account, but this time he went too far. In relation to the George Floyd case, he inveighed against rioters, with the stirring words: “Any difficulty and we will assume control but, when the looting starts, the shooting starts”. These words would have been inflammatory without context, but they in fact echo the boast of a southern police chief against the civil rights movement. This was too much for…
We need to talk about Donald Trump’s Twitter account
Donald Trump and his Twitter account seems to be the embodiment of David Cameron’s maxim about Twitter, but this week Trump seems to have really caught the attention of Twitter with some pretty interesting actions regarding his tweets. So onto the betting angle of this story. Ladbrokes have a market up on Trump’s Twitter account to be deactivated or suspended before the end of June 2020 at 10/1. Usually a profitable route is not to get involved in betting markets…
Latest UK and US polling not good for Johnson’s government and Trump
For the first time since lockdown Johnson’s government gets negative YouGov approval rating And in the White House race Trump is struggling against Biden
PB Nighthawks Cafe on the evening Trump said that he’d been treated worse than Abraham Lincoln – who, of course, was assassinated
We haven’t spent much time of late looking at some of the wacko things that Trump comes out with. The latest is an assertion that he has been treated worse than Abraham Lincoln. The obvious response is that Lincoln was murdered. What could be worse than that? There’s little doubt that COVID-19 has had an enormous impact on the WH2020 race with primaries cancelled or postponed and the Democrats having to put back their convention till August. The impact on…