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Category: Donald Trump

Let’s Get This Party Started

Let’s Get This Party Started

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When I saw this betting market from Smarkets on Trump creating or affiliating with a new political party my reaction was why would Trump create or join a new political party? The Republican Party in its current form is the political equivalent of catamites that will do anything to service Donald Trump’s wishes and happiness or do his bidding. During his tenure as President there wasn’t an outrage most of the Republican Party wouldn’t defend or excuse, culminating in his…

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January 6th is what some Republican congressmen are now calling a “tourist visit”

January 6th is what some Republican congressmen are now calling a “tourist visit”

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It is now more than four and a half months since the dramatic events in Washington when supporters of Donald Trump stormed the Capitol building in the effort to stop Congress officially certifying that Joe Biden won the 2020 presidential election – yet what happened that day looks set to dominate US politics for a long time to come. The latest move is for Congress to create an official inquiry into what happened and, no doubt, Trump would have been…

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What some Trump backing Republican donors get told if they don’t make their gifts recurring ones

What some Trump backing Republican donors get told if they don’t make their gifts recurring ones

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Last week there was a big report in the New York Times about some of the high-pressure fundraising tactics of the Trump campaign. A feature that got special attention was that many donors who thought they had made one-off donations in the run up to WH2020 suddenly found that this had been deemed to be a weekly donation and money was being sucked out of their banks every 7-days. In many cases this had led to hardship. Apparently it was…

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Florida Governor Ron DeStantis looks a good bet for the GOP WH2024 nomination

Florida Governor Ron DeStantis looks a good bet for the GOP WH2024 nomination

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He’s currently 6/1 second favourite behind Trump I’ve just had a small punt on DeSantis after reading this in the Wall Street Journal: Mr. DeSantis has burnished his brand with a Covid-19 response that has enthused the voter base of former President Donald Trump while—in Florida, at least—also impressing the kind of moderate and suburban voters who turned away from Mr. Trump in 2020..As the GOP looks to rebuild after losing the presidential election last year, that formula could give…

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Trump now 22% favourite to be the WH2024 Republican nominee

Trump now 22% favourite to be the WH2024 Republican nominee

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After his first big speech since leaving the White House Trump has now now moved to be clear favourite on the Smarkets exchange to get the GOP nomination for the WH2024 race. There was little doubt after his performance at the CPAC conference weekend that as far as he is concerned he is the major force within his party. For better or worse if the route in the party to getting preferment requires repeating Trump’s big election lies about WH2020…

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Trump might have his base but for most Americans he’s electorally toxic

Trump might have his base but for most Americans he’s electorally toxic

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The above poll finding from the well-regarded Pew Research sets out simply the challenge Republican leaders have as they meet for their annual gathering CPAC gathering in Orlando this weekend. For tomorrow Donald Trump will be the main speaker and he has already made it clear that he will use the power of his base to make himself the de facto leader. This is Trump’s party and he wants to ensure that those loyal to him will get selected for…

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Could WH2024 be a re-run of Biden v Trump

Could WH2024 be a re-run of Biden v Trump

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They are 2nd and 3rd in the betting in an interview with CNN the 20212 Republican nominee, Mitt Romney, said that if Trump wanted to run again in 2024 he was sure that he would get the nomination. I think that this is right and that’s how the betting markets see it. On the other side 78 year old Joe Biden has not ruled out a second term and in the betting he is second favourite behind Kamala Harris to…

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