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Is this the Old Etonian you should be backing as next Tory leader?

Is this the Old Etonian you should be backing as next Tory leader?

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Can Zac do what Boris has done and become the favourite to be the next Tory leader? One of the main challenges for the Tory Party at the next election is holding on to all those voters dubbed the Blue Liberals in the marginals and the previously Lib Dem held seats which are now Tory seats. Without David Cameron, that challenge becomes harder, but who best to appeal to those voters? Zac Goldsmith could, he’s well known for his environmental policies,…

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The trade union member who could be the next Tory leader

The trade union member who could be the next Tory leader

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George Osborne praising Robert Halfon’s campaign for cheaper fuel. I’ve always thought the next leader would be someone associated with George Osborne, he declined to run in 2005 and he probably will not enter the next Tory leadership election, and prefers to be the éminence grise for another Tory leader. Sajid Javid seemed to be best placed in such a scenario, but perhaps, there is another, the man who was Osborne’s Parliamentary Private Secretary prior to the election, Robert Halfon, who must…

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Mr. Cameron might rue the day that his party was reluctant to embrace the reform of the House of Lords

Mr. Cameron might rue the day that his party was reluctant to embrace the reform of the House of Lords

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The numbers look potentially tricky A key moment in the last parliament was in July 2012 when CON back-bench rebels voted down a timetable motion on the Lords Reform bill thus making it highly unlikely that it would get through the house. A few days later Cameron pulled the plans completely – a move that led to Mr. Clegg pulling the plug on boundary reform. So the upper house remains unreformed something that could be tricky for the government as…

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Three years after being touted as Iron Lady 2.0 Liz Truss (33-1) is well placed to succeed Dave

Three years after being touted as Iron Lady 2.0 Liz Truss (33-1) is well placed to succeed Dave

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New Statesman July 2012 Might the comprehensive school girl from Leeds make it to the top? Cameron’s comments today about how long he might remain in the job have inevitably set off speculation about who will replace him. My long term bet, at 50/1, has been Liz Truss – who was one of the first of the class of GE10 to get a place in the cabinet. That was very important stepping stone. She’s now at 33/1. I’ve long taken…

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Nigel Farage hints at another Tory defection to UKIP

Nigel Farage hints at another Tory defection to UKIP

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Nigel Farage hints at another Tory defection to UKIP, who should you be betting on? http://t.co/0v2XsQ5Wga pic.twitter.com/Um7zgGX438 — TSE (@TSEofPB) March 1, 2015 Today it is being reported Asked if he was in talks with Tory MPs about more defections, Mr Farage said: “The last time I spoke about this I said I would be surprised if there were not more. “There is one conversation we are still having. But do you know what – it is not very relevant…

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The Next Tory Leader betting

The Next Tory Leader betting

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Given the current polling and lack of time and opportunities for the polling to change, it is likely Cameron and the Tories in a little under three months time will be out of Downing Street, which in all likelihood means there will be a vacancy at the top of the Tory party. The current favourite is Boris Johnson, in past Tory leadership elections it has been profitable to lay the favourite. Another reason for laying Boris will be if the…

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At last somebody’s talking about an area that could be decisive – the LAB-CON ground war capability gap in the battlegrounds

At last somebody’s talking about an area that could be decisive – the LAB-CON ground war capability gap in the battlegrounds

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Ex-Cameron aide: Tories will lose election | Public Affairs News http://t.co/SKeYQvS2B7. See pic.twitter.com/ReAVs6BtZN — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 11, 2015 The grassroots collapse that threatens the Tories In the article David Cameron’s former chief of Staff, Alex Deane, makes this observation and predictions about the general election: “”The basic scenario in this Parliament has been clear for a while and remains unchanged in 2015: UKIP up, dividing the right, Lib Dems down, uniting the left. This becomes stronger as the…

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Boris might be a CON election winner but it could be that he just gets over-stated in the polls

Boris might be a CON election winner but it could be that he just gets over-stated in the polls

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Look at what happened with his 2012 election Hills have cut their odds for Boris Johnson to be the next Prime Minister from 8/1 to 6/1 second favourite behind 4/5 favourite Ed Miliband. This seems weird because just about the only chance there is of a vacancy occurring is if Cameron wins the election when he’ll remain at Number 10. The mayor’s big opportunity will most likely come if Dave loses or he decides to step down in a few…

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