David Herdson says “look to the outsiders for Cameron’s successor”
Most Con leaders were off the radar four years before they got the job The clock is ticking on David Cameron’s leadership. As delegates meet for the first Conservative conference of his last term, minds will already be turning to the question of who will succeed him. It’s probably far too soon to be doing so. Ever since the Magic Circle method of election was abolished, the Conservatives have consistently surprised with their choices. In fact, four years before they…
Will Cameron’s majority last?
As far as Dave need worry, it’s still Europe that matters most For all the difficulties that have beset Jeremy Corbyn in his first week in charge, when it comes to parliamentary votes, it’s the PM rather than the Leader of the Opposition who should worry. Yes, a more effective whipping operation on the tax credit vote last week would have reduced rather than doubled the government majority but the government would still have won – and a government win…
The pollsters might have to start applying a shy Labour filter
The Conservative party's opening attack on Jeremy Corbyn pic.twitter.com/w8Dxh6odWG — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 14, 2015 Whilst Mr Corbyn is leader we might expect to see some shy Labour voters Judging by the opening attacks from the Conservatives greeting Jeremy Corbyn election as Labour leader you get the feeling Corbyn’s victory was foretold in The Book of Revelation somewhere between The Seven Headed Dragon and The Whore of Babylon. This is because one of Lynton Crosby’s mantras for winning election being Frame…
Sir Vince Cable predicts George Osborne will be the next Prime Minister
In October 1974 Thatcher was 50/1 to be the next Tory leader. Less than four months later, she became Tory leader pic.twitter.com/OiALS7dNSI — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 5, 2015 The favourite this far out seldom wins the Tory leadership – Will Osborne be any different? In an interview with the Guardian today Sir Vince Cable predicts that George Osborne will be the next Prime Minister. Sir Vince like Mark Antony comes to bury Osborne, not praise him by saying Osborne is “extremely shrewd…
Now most LAB leadership votes are in Osborne moves to undermine the likely winner
Guardian's Andrew Sparrow says Osborne’s Faslane announcement is CON plan to frame Corbyn. http://t.co/ApC9o124Zx pic.twitter.com/AU8XrBH9BD — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 31, 2015 The Tory attack on Corbyn and his party has begun For the last four months the Tories have been almost totally disciplined about the LAB leadership election. There’ve been virtually no comments whatsoever in public until now. Today, with George Osborne’s Faslane announcement things have changed. This is Andrew Sparrow in the Guardian: “Osborne is keenly aware that…
Big tent or radical reformers – how does Dave use the Tories’ dominance
The next three years will be the high point for the Blues There are only two realistic outcomes to Labour’s leadership election. The first, and by far the more likely, is that Jeremy Corbyn wins, either outright or on transfers. The other is that either Andy Burnham or Yvette Cooper wins by a relatively narrow margin having come from a long way behind on the first count to win on second- and third-choice transfers, at the same time as no…
The likely reaction from the blue team if they’re facing Opposition Leader Corbyn?
Picture: The first PMQs maybe? Antifrank looks at how CON might respond to a JC victory  When the Conservatives had finished celebrating their unexpected overall majority and started gazing across at the potential Labour leadership candidates they no doubt started thinking about the challenges of their next possible Labour opponent. Newspapers and blogs speculated about which of the leadership candidates the Conservatives most feared, and then newspapers and blogs further speculated whether the Conservatives were laying false trails. This speculation…