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Ladrokes offering evens that the SNP will increase the number Westminster MPs at GE2015

Ladrokes offering evens that the SNP will increase the number Westminster MPs at GE2015

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Ladbrokes have an interesting bet up on the number of SNP MPs at Westminster after the next general election. The prices are evens that it will be above 6.5 and evens that it will be below. The big election between now and 2015, of course, is the Scottish Indy referendum in September 2014. If YES wins then, I’d assume, there’d still be Scottish MPs in the UK parliament until a full transfer of power has taken place. If it’s NO…

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Suddenly the high rollers get attracted by the #IndyRef betting

Suddenly the high rollers get attracted by the #IndyRef betting

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Two NO bets of £200k each reported this week alone Now Ladbrokes report that a shop in Scotland took a £200k bet on the #IndyRef outcome being NO Hills took similar bet earlier in week — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 27, 2013 @metaneat If Ladbrokes and William Hill tell me this has happened then I believe them The NO #IndyRef price has tightened sharply — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 27, 2013 Hills tighten the NO price to 1/7 Current best NO…

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SNP hold on to Aberdeen Donside with reduced majority – Farage’s Scottish venture ends with lost deposit

SNP hold on to Aberdeen Donside with reduced majority – Farage’s Scottish venture ends with lost deposit

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Comfortable victory for SNP In Donside by-election although vote down 15% on 2011 BBC report http://t.co/qrGVOkhua3 pic.twitter.com/wSSaA8FZPL — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 21, 2013 Party shares in Aberdeen Donside by-election SNP 42 Lab 33.3 LD 8.3 Con 7.7 UKIP 4.8 Greens 1.7 National Front 1 Christians 0.9 SDA 0.14 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 21, 2013 Is UKIP is something you are only south of the border? Although their majority was down sharply on 2011 the SNP will be delighted to have held on to Aberdeen Donside in the Scottish…

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Is Alex Massie right on Scottish Independence?

Is Alex Massie right on Scottish Independence?

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The below graphic is from Ipsos Mori showing the support for Scottish Independence over the last thirty-five years Over at the Spectator’s Coffee House, Alex Massie has written a piece about the forthcoming referendum following on from the viewing of the first part of the documentary called the Road to referendum, which can be viewed here. He says If stories matter in politics – and I think they do – then one of the largest problems facing Unionists is their lack…

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With 17 months to go the Scottish #IndyRef YES appears to have a mountain to climb

With 17 months to go the Scottish #IndyRef YES appears to have a mountain to climb

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Nice infographic from Ipsos-MORI for today’s Scotland poll which has NO 28% ahead. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 9, 2013 Now just 23% of Scotland’s women back the plan Ipsos-MORI chart showing how different Scottish subgroups responded to the #indyref question twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 9, 2013 Salmond’s deputy tops the Scottish leader ratings Alex Salmond once again being out done by his deputy in the latest Ipsos-MORI Scottish leader ratings twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May…

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The Scottish Sun to “remain neutral” in next years referendum

The Scottish Sun to “remain neutral” in next years referendum

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According to the Indy the Scottish Sun will remain neutral in next year’s #IndyRef.goo.gl/SiAfA twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 2, 2013 A blow for Alex Salmond? According to a report in the Independent this morning Scotland’s biggest-selling newspaper, the Murdoch-owned, Scottish Sun, will remain neutral in the September 2014 independence referendum. In a piece recalling Rupert Murdoch’s Tweet last year about Salmons being the “most brilliant politician in the UK” James Cusick sets out the latest developments:- “..In a…

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If Scotland rejects independence it will be because Scottish women are not convinced

If Scotland rejects independence it will be because Scottish women are not convinced

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Latest Scottish referendum poll for S Times has huge gender divide. YES 7% ahead with men but 27% behind with women. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 24, 2013 The Sept 2014 referendum: The testosterone factor With just 18 months to go before the Scottish referendum there’s a new poll from Panelbase in the Sunday Times. Overall the split is 36% YES to 46^% NO. The balance of those sampled have not made up their minds. The poll used the…

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The Scottish Leadership ratings change, year on year and the future.

The Scottish Leadership ratings change, year on year and the future.

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    Leader Net Rating Jan 12 Net Rating Feb 13 Change Alex Salmond Plus 22 Plus 7 Minus 15 Ruth Davidson Minus 12 Minus 4 Plus 8 Johann Lamont Minus 6 Plus 8 Plus 14 Willie Rennie Minus 12 Minus 7 Plus 5 David Cameron Minus 28 Minus 40 Minus 12   The above table shows the net leadership ratings from Ipsos-Mori Scotland polling series in the last year, and the change therein. As we can see there has…

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