Browsed by
Category: Scotland

When Corbyn first became leader he said winning back Scotland would be a priority, SLAB are now in third place, 12% behind the Tories

When Corbyn first became leader he said winning back Scotland would be a priority, SLAB are now in third place, 12% behind the Tories

Comments 0 Comment

New @Panelbase Scotland Westminster VI poll (changes since Sep 16) SNP 47% (-3) Con 27% (+6) Lab 15% (-1) LD 4% (-1) https://t.co/2lSOn4tOrb pic.twitter.com/qkEbaq90cF — TSE (@TSEofPB) February 5, 2017 From the graphic above, you can see how Scottish Labour have been eclipsed, a little over three years ago, Labour were polling 45%, now they have a third of that support, most of the collapse happened long before Corbyn became leader. I wonder if the Scottish precedent is playing on…

Read More Read More

TMay moves to negative ratings in Scotland while fewer Scots now back independence than at the 2014 referendum

TMay moves to negative ratings in Scotland while fewer Scots now back independence than at the 2014 referendum

Comments 0 Comment

Given the huge importance of Scotland as the UK moves towards BREXIT there’s a new Scotland only YouGov poll – the first since August. These are some of the key points:- New YouGov Scottish poll for Times finds support for independence down to 44% – lower than it was at the Sept 2014 referendum — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 30, 2016 TMay sees sharp YouGov ratings drop in Scotland. To the doing job well/badly question she's moved from net PLUS…

Read More Read More

Nicola Sturgeon should go for a second Independence referendum says Alastair Meeks

Nicola Sturgeon should go for a second Independence referendum says Alastair Meeks

Comments 0 Comment

Embed from Getty Images A year ago I wrote about why Nicola Sturgeon was so chary of committing to a second referendum on independence.  With the SNP hegemonic in Scotland but with Yes continuing to lag in the polls, I formed the view that Nicola Sturgeon would probably not seek an unequivocal mandate for a second referendum in the SNP’s manifesto for the 2016 Holyrood elections for fear of losing one.  So it proved. What has happened since then?  Lots. …

Read More Read More

Suddenly independence starts to look a much scarier prospect to the Scots. BREXIT could be keeping the union together

Suddenly independence starts to look a much scarier prospect to the Scots. BREXIT could be keeping the union together

Comments 0 Comment

Survation finds big move against Independence in latest Scottish poll Yes 42% (-5)No 48% (+7)Changes from June 28 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 19, 2016 It’s not only the oil prices but so much more appears undercertain Survation’s latest Scottish poll, like some other similar surveys, have found that the mood is moving away from independence. The normal response is to blame the oil price but I wonder if it goes deeper than that. BREXIT has added so many new…

Read More Read More

YouGov poll finds the SNP regaining their majority at Holyrood but Scots don’t want a second indyref or to leave the UK

YouGov poll finds the SNP regaining their majority at Holyrood but Scots don’t want a second indyref or to leave the UK

Comments 0 Comment

YouGov Holyrood seat prediction by @scotlandvotes SNP 71(+8) Lab 18(-6) LD 4(-1) Con 26(-5) UKIP 0(=) Grns 10(+4) pic.twitter.com/yxh8bCyYtR — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 2, 2016 A good poll for the SNP but not for Scottish Independence This morning The Times published a poll conducted by YouGov, the good news for the SNP, as YouGov notes The survey also looks at Holyrood voting intention for the first time since the Scottish Parliament elections in May, which provides better news for the…

Read More Read More

Today’s 2nd terrible poll for Corbyn: YouGov ratings from its latest Scotland survey

Today’s 2nd terrible poll for Corbyn: YouGov ratings from its latest Scotland survey

Comments 0 Comment

Just 19% of Scots LAB GE2015 voters say Corbyn doing well, 66% badly Remember in those by-gone days in September 2015 when Mr. Corbyn pulled off his sensational leadership victory? Remember what he said would be his biggest initial priority? That was going to be Scotland where five months earlier Labour had slumped from 40 seats in the general election to just one – the same as the LD and CON. This was absolutely awful for the party and raised…

Read More Read More

A proxy bet for a Leave victory

A proxy bet for a Leave victory

Comments 0 Comment

Brexit might kill Scottish nationalism stone dead the same way devolution did. Sometimes when you think the value on a particular bet has gone, and you have to look for a proxy bet elsewhere, with with the best price on Leave winning at 13/5 perhaps the backing the 5/1 on the next Scottish independence referendum happening before 2020 could be a good proxy bet. Alex Salmond and Nicola Sturgeon have been saying on several occasions, “Scottish independence would happen within two…

Read More Read More

Following the SNPs loss of its Holyrood majority last week ex-party boss Salmond says the voting system unfair

Following the SNPs loss of its Holyrood majority last week ex-party boss Salmond says the voting system unfair

Comments 0 Comment

Alex Salmond, whose SNP lost its Holyrood majority last week, moans about the unfairness of voting system. https://t.co/QPxrOSR3S2 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 11, 2016 This from a party that got 56 of Scotland 59 Westminster seats last year on 50% of the vote