politicalbetting.com

Sunday’s stories sifted As usual for August, it’s a quiet weekend for political news, but a few pieces in today’s papers will interest political gamblers. The Conservative leadership has been a reliable source of interest since May, and continues to provide stories. The talk at the moment is of whether Kenneth Clarke and David Cameron can present a united front in a “dream ticket”. The Sunday Times reports that Lord Heseltine is backing a bid led by Clarke with Cameron…

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UK General Election back as most popular market With two new polls both giving totally different pictures it’s not a surprise that the UK General Election is back at the top of the politicalbetting top 10 – which is based on “click-throughs” to online bookmakers from the site. If you are thinking of betting in the UK markets it’s worth recalling that at the 2001 General Election every single poll from every single pollster over-estimated Labour. Our safety first strategy…

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Hilary moves to Number One top political bet With two new polls showing Labour leads of 8-9% the party has tightened even further to 1/7 for the General Election and punters have been looking elsewhere for betting value. Even though the next White House race is four years away it has moved to the top of the charts as the week’s most popular political bet. In a fairly light betting week punters have been looking for bets that give them…

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The week’s 10 most popular political betting markets As a new feature we plan to list every weekend the top ten political betting markets based on “click-throughs” from the site. We are doing this for two reasons:- The weekly table is interesting in itself By recording the price of the favourite in each market we will build up a good archive showing how prices move. We’ve created a special category so that users can quickly link to each weekly Top…

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My General Election Bets In this last article before my holiday I thought I would set out my personal General Election bets. These are mostly in line with the calls that we’ve made on the site. Some now look silly, some look really good value and some look over-priced – but they all seemed a good idea at the time of being made. They also reflect how attitudes to political outcomes have changed over the past year. Labour to win…

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Hartlepool – Can Labour hold on? 9am update Campaigning has started in earnest for the Hartlepool by-election and Politicalbetting has urged William Hill to make a market available on-line ASAP. The date has yet to be fixed but already the contest is attracting more media interest than last month’s two contests and we expect this to be reflected in the betting activity. These are the ’01 party shares together with GE predictions from Martin Baxter based on his latest “poll…

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How the pundits will get the next General Election wrong We believe that the result of the next General Election will be seen as one of the great upsets of modern times to rank alongside 1970, February 1974 and 1992 when Edward Heath, Harold Wilson and John Major respectively defied the pundits, and to a large extent the opinion polls, to gain unexpected victories. A Guardian feature by two Labour thinkers today notes “..Given the volatility of contemporary politics, it…

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