The week’s 10 most popular political betting markets

As a new feature we plan to list every weekend the top ten political betting markets based on “click-throughs” from the site. We are doing this for two reasons:-

The weekly table is interesting in itself

By recording the price of the favourite in each market we will build up a good archive showing how prices move. We’ve created a special category so that users can quickly link to each weekly Top 10 table.

THIS WEEK’s TOP TEN

1. General Election Winning Party Best bookie price on Labour is 1/6 and 0.22/1 with a betting exchange.

2. End of Tony Blair’s tenure Current favourite is 6/4 for him to go during 2006. We like the 7/2 on 2004/05.

3. US President 2008 Hilary Clinton is 5/1 favourite.

4. When Will Next General Election Be? Hot favourite at 1/4 is April-June 2005.

5. US Democratic Candidate 2008 Hilary Clinton is 5/4 favourite.

6. General Election 2nd Most Seats Hard to see past the Tory Party at 0.22/1

7. General Election Labour Party: Number of Seats 360+ at 6/5 is the hot favourite. Punters are putting a lot of faith in opinion polls which in 2001 overstated on average the Labour margin by 6.6%. Not one single pollster understated Labour’s margin.

8. General Election Liberal Democrats: Number of seats 61+ is 1/3 favourite.

9. Who Will Be The Next Pope? Given the current Pope is still alive this market seems a bit premature. Dionigi Tettamanzi of Italy is 2/1 favourite.

10. US Winning Party 2008 You can get evens on both Republicans and the Democrats. Remember to factor in the cost of locking up your money for four years.

The General Election Commons seat spread prices from Spreadfair, which combines a betting exchange with spread-betting, are:-

LAB 344-346: CON 206.5-208.7: LIBD 71.5-73.5