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Category: Referendum

NO 4pc ahead with ComRes but 8pc behind with YouGov

NO 4pc ahead with ComRes but 8pc behind with YouGov

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Latest AV referendum polls using the question that’s on the ballot Date YES (FOR AV) % NO (FOR FPTP) % Methodology note YouGov/SkyNews 09/03/11 54 (+2) 46 (-2) Repercentaged by PB to show only decided voters. Comparisons are with last similar poll for NO2AV on March 2. No turnout weighting. Politically weighted via party ID and newspaper type. ComRes/Indy on Sunday 09/03/11 48 (-9) 52 (+9) Repercentaged by PB to show only decided voters. Online with Westminster turnout filter. No…

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YouGov finds only 8 percent saying they WON’T vote on AV

YouGov finds only 8 percent saying they WON’T vote on AV

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Why don’t the pollsters focus on those most likely to vote? There’s yet another YouGov AV poll out with its 141 word-long question that has been totally over-taken by events and starts “The Conservative-Liberal Democrat government are committed to holding a referendum…”. It finishes “If a referendum were held tomorrow on whether to stick with first-past-the-post or switch to the Alternative Vote for electing MPs, how would you vote?” Hasn’t the online firm woken up to the fact that the…

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Does the calendar give YES a slight edge?

Does the calendar give YES a slight edge?

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The build-up to polling day Status Thursday 21 April 2011 Normal working day Friday 22 April 2011 Good Friday: Long holiday weekend Saturday 23 April 2011 Long holiday weekend Sunday 24 April 2011 East Sunday: Long holiday weekend Monday 25 April 2011 East Monday: Long holiday weekend Tuesday 26 April 2011 Normal working day: Wedding week Wednesday 27 April 2011 Normal working day: Wedding week Thursday 28 April 2011 Normal working day: Wedding week Friday 29 April 2011 Royal Wedding:…

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Is NO 14pc ahead or 10pc behind?

Is NO 14pc ahead or 10pc behind?

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Latest AV referendum polls Date YES % NO % Methodology note Angus Reid/ 03/03/11 55 45 Repercentaged by pollster. Actual wording on the ballot, online, polling restricted to members of its polling panel. No turnout weighting. Politically weighted via past vote and newspaper type. YouGov/No2AV 02/03/11 43 57 Repercentaged by PB. Bespoke wording, online, polling restricted to members of its polling panel. No turnout weighting. Politically weighted via party ID and newspaper type. Ipsos-MORI Reuters 20/02/11 55 45 Repercentaged by…

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Is this what the Tories fear about AV?

Is this what the Tories fear about AV?

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North Tyneside mayoral election 2005 Name 1st Choice Votes 1st choice  % 2nd Choice Votes 2nd choice % Final Labour John Lawrence Langford Harrison 34053 40.2 6407 61.6 40460 Conservative Linda Arkley 35467 41.8 3991 38.4 39458 Liberal Democrats Dr Joan Harvey 12761 15.1 N/A N/A N/A National Front Robert Nigel Batten 2470 2.9 N/A N/A N/A When an apparent winner became a loser The nearest elections Britain has got to AV have been in the the thirteen English councils where,…

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Could Boris versus Ken save the taxpayer GBP32m?

Could Boris versus Ken save the taxpayer GBP32m?

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Why not switch mayoral elections to FPTP? On May 3rd next year more than one in eight of UK adults will be able to vote in what is the biggest election before the general election. At stake is a position that arguably has more political power than anyone apart from the prime minister. With Ken bidding to return to his old job and Boris trying to hang on in less than clement conditions for the blues this will be a…

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Has YouGov’s AV polling question been overtaken by events?

Has YouGov’s AV polling question been overtaken by events?

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Shouldn’t last week have led to a re-wording? This is the precise wording of the YouGov AV referendum question that was asked yesterday and the results published last night. “The Conservative-Liberal Democrat government are committed to holding a referendum on changing the electoral system from first-past-thepost (FPTP) to the Alternative Vote (AV) At the moment, under first-past-the-post (FPTP), voters select ONE candidate, and the candidate with the most votes wins. It has been suggested that this system should be replaced…

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Can NO build on its strong start?

Can NO build on its strong start?

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Will YouGov add to YES’s misery? With just ten weeks and one day left before the country votes in the referendum a new survey of members of the YouGov polling panel found that YES has dropped to 34% with NO edging up to 41%. The firm used what has been its standard question which when put last produced a 37-37 response. So with this week’s two polls both showing a move to NO it looks as though those opposed to…

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