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Category: Polls

Brown replaces Blair as Britain’s most unpopular politican

Brown replaces Blair as Britain’s most unpopular politican

Peter Smith reports that Blair Backers are Beaming …again Whether or not it was his performance on Comic Relief, there is no doubt that those who followed our advice to back Blair last week were smiling all the way to the bank. The great showman continued his climb in YouGov’s Popularity poll, reaching his highest score of the year and moving ahead of his Downing Street neighbour…which gives rise to some interesting if somewhat mischievous speculation. What if Our Tone…

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More bad polling news on the budget

More bad polling news on the budget

Will there be another bonanza for Brown BrandIndex punters? Those punters who sold Brown on the IG politicians popularity market in the immediate aftermath of Wednesday’s budget speech look set to pocket another big parcel of cash as more polling has shown that the contents and the Chancellor himself have gone down badly. Rather than wait for the actual index numbers I closed my Brown positions down yesterday making this, together with the successful budget length bets, my most profitable…

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Tories take 8% YouGov lead as Brown’s budget bombs

Tories take 8% YouGov lead as Brown’s budget bombs

Could the budget “masterstroke” have scuppered Gordon’s chances? What a difference two days make? After all the cheers from his fellow Labour MPs on Wednesday there’s a massive blow to Brown and his party from YouGov in the Daily Telegraph this morning. For in the first poll since the budget there is a 2% increase in the Tory lead. These are the figures compared with the last survey from the internet pollster – CON 39% (+1): LAB 31% (-1): LD…

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Punters react cautiously to Brown’s budget “tax cut”

Punters react cautiously to Brown’s budget “tax cut”

Is it going to help or hinder him in his quest for the top job? Our chart shows the betting price on Gordon Brown for the Labour leadership over the past three days and reflects the very mixed feelings there are amongst punters. For as can be seen there has been a tightening on the Brown price but he is still not quite as firm a favourite as he was on Monday before the Turnbull “Brown like Stalin” story broke….

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What if the French polls are horribly wrong again?

What if the French polls are horribly wrong again?

Could they be following 2002 and under-estimating Le Pen? Five years ago France saw one of the biggest polling disasters ever in a western democracy when without exception all the firms surveying opinion ahead of the presidential election failed to pick up the support that the National Front’s Jean-Marie Le Pen was getting. This proved to be central because of the way the French election system works. At the first stage there is no limit on the number of candidates…

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YouGov: “Labour’s deficit 4% bigger with Brown”

YouGov: “Labour’s deficit 4% bigger with Brown”

Will the Chancellor be bringing on Deborah again? There are two news polls in the papers this morning both of which were carried out by the internet pollster YouGov and both of which give fairly similar main voting shares. Only one of them, however, appears under the YouGov name. The main headline figures in the Sunday Times with changes on the last YouGov survey show CON 38% (+1): LAB 32% (nc): LD 16% (-1). I cannot find a figure for…

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Can Gordon ease the fears of these threatened MPs?

Can Gordon ease the fears of these threatened MPs?

Brown – the solution or part of the problem? In the wake of the biggest ICM lead for the Tories since 1987 the former Home Secretary, Charles Clarke, has called on the young Environment Secretary, David Miliband, to run for the leadership against Gordon Brown. Whether Miliband will heed the call we do now know but there’s clearly a lot of questioning going on in the party at the moment and a group that could be influential might be the…

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