This is a new feature and will run every Sunday night up until polling day, to include the last set of figures from each pollster, as well as the current seat spreads from the betting markets. There probably won’t be any articles on international politics over the next few weeks, but to ensure that it retains a toehold on PB even during the UK campaign, this slot will continue to feature international snippets. The pollsters Last poll from each pollster…
Opening polls 1997 CON LAB LD OTH LEAD Gallup March 21 27% 56% 11% 6% 29% MORI March 24 29% 50% 14% 7% 21% Harris Mar 24 28% 56% 10% 6% 28% ICM Mar 31 31% 45% 18% 6% 14% MORI Apr 1 28% 55% 11% 6% 27% Actual result May 1 1997 31.4 44.4 17.2 7 13 What was happening before the last change of government
Could the widening gap be giving him second thoughts? If indeed, as is being widely reported, Mr. Brown makes that short car journey from Downing Street to Buckingham Palace on Tuesday morning then it will be a situation almost without precedent. For never before in modern times has a PM with a working majority had to make a decision on an election date when his party had double digit deficits in the polls. John Major was in a worse polling…
Angus Reid for Politicalbetting Mar 31 Mar 17 CONSERVATIVES 39%37% 39% LABOUR 27%28% 26% LIB DEMS 23%22% 21% LAB to CON swing from 2005 –% 8% And others drop sharply as well With the election only days away from being called there’s a boost for the Lib Dems in the latest PB/Angus Reid poll. The entire field-work took place yesterday and today and so was completed after Monday’s Channel 4 “Ask the Chancellors” debate. A big feature in this latest…
FLASHBACK to October 2006 John Rentoul writes a post on his blog about the recent Manchester academic conference when all those making predictions said it was going to be a hung parliament. This has prompted me to dig out this MORI poll of nearly 300 politics dons taken in October 2006 only nine months before Mr. Brown became prime minister. Remembering that this was October 2006, they were asked to give their forecast for the general election. Notice in particular…
YG daily poll: Sunday Times Mar 26 Mar 25 CONSERVATIVES 37% 37% LABOUR 32% 33% LIB DEMS 19% 18% LAB to CON swing from 2005 4% 3.5% YG/BPIX: Mail on Sunday Mar 26 Mar 5 CONSERVATIVES 37% 36% LABOUR 30% 34% LIB DEMS 20% 18% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5% 2.5% Two further polls add to the picture After the ICM poll earlier showing an increase in the Tory lead from 6 to 8 points we are getting…
Angus Reid But the pollster diverges with ComRes on who is most trusted There’ve been two polls on reactions to the budget – one earlier from ComRes and the latest, where fieldwork continued into Friday, from Angus Reid. The panel above has two of the findings. Another AR question related to how the public rated Brown and Cameron on these matters. These findings are in sharp contrast to a poll earlier from ComRes. When asked who voters trusted most to…
Won’t it hurt those least likely to benefit? “90% of the country to be given broadband access, enabling faster internet services, to be funded by a 50p a month tax on those who have phone lines” Share Good idea 39% Bad idea 49% Don’t know 12% PoliticsHome budget poll March 26 There’s an interesting negative response in the Politics Home budget poll to Labour’s plan to fund the expansion of broadband by putting a tax of 50p a month on…