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Category: Polls

Does the AV referendum question wording favour YES?

Does the AV referendum question wording favour YES?

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Latest AV referendum polls Date YES % NO % Question wording YouGov 10/01/11 32 41 See wording below Angus Reid 07/01/11 37 20 Actual phrasing that’s on the ballot paper ICM 19/12/10 44 38 Actual phrasing that’s on the ballot paper Why’s YouGov the pollster that’s out of line again? There’s a new Angus Reid poll out on the AV referendum and its findings are in sharp contrast to YouGov. The Canadian pollster has, like ICM, used the precise wording…

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Are Labour’s hopes based on the coalition vote splitting?

Are Labour’s hopes based on the coalition vote splitting?

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Saddleworth News But what if yellows/blues are seen as having the best chance? I’m coming to the view that the single most important event in the final week of this campaign will be the opinion poll, now expected at the weekend, and whether it shows the Tories or the Lib Dems as being best placed to beat Labour. For the one reason why Labour are favourites in a seat which they won with 31.9% at the general election is that…

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By-election poll taking place in Old & Sad

By-election poll taking place in Old & Sad

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Will the automated phone survey change the betting? I’ve just had word that the automated phone pollster, Survation, is carrying out a survey in Oldham East & Saddleworth ahead of the by-election. The firm carries out surveys, like a number of US pollsters, by automated phone calls. Respondees answer by keying in their answers on the key-pad of their phones. ComRes used something similar for its post-debate general election polling when it was trying to produce an almost instant response….

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Are petrol prices driving the poll ratings?

Are petrol prices driving the poll ratings?

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Whatgas average price of a litre of unleaded What’ll record levels and the VAT increase going to do? One trend that’s hardly been commented upon over the holiday period has been the rising cost of filling your car up. Over the past few days the price has been edging upwards and we are now at record levels. This can have a political impact. Labour’s low point in the polls in July 2008 coincided with the last high in the price…

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The yellows are at 9 points as well with Angus Reid

The yellows are at 9 points as well with Angus Reid

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Poll/publication Date CON % LAB % LD % Angus Reid/ 20/12/10 35 41 9 Angus Reid/ 29/11/10 35 40 13 Angus Reid/ 28/10/10 35 37 15 Angus Reid/Sunday Express 01/10/10 35 38 16 And Labour take a six point lead There’s a new poll tonight from Angus Reid which has the Lib Dems taking a huge hit dropping from 13% at the end of November to 9 points now. Labour move up to 41% giving them a six point margin…

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Labour move to their highest ever PAPA level

Labour move to their highest ever PAPA level

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PB All Pollsters’ Average Date CON % LAB % LD % ***PAPA Latest*** 21/12/2010 37.4 40.0 11.2 PAPA November 30/11/10 36.6 39.4 12.6 PAPA October 2010 31/10/10 37.6 37.2 15.2 PAPA September 2010 30/09/10 37.8 37.0 14.8 PAPA August 2010 31/08/10 39.3 36.0 15.0 PAPA July 2010 31/07/10 40.0 36.7 15.0 PAPA June 2010 30/06/10 40.2 37.2 17.2 And the gloom for the yellows continues The overnight polls from YouGov and ICM have reinforced the trend on PAPA – the…

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Very little change from ComRes online

Very little change from ComRes online

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Poll/publication Date CON % LAB % LD % ComRes/IoS-S.Mirror(Online) 17/12/10 37 39 11 ComRes/Independent (Phone) 29/11/10 36 40 12 ComRes/Indy on Sunday (Online) 19/11/10 37 38 13 ComRes/Independent (Phone) 31/10/10 35 37 16 ComRes/Indy on Sunday (Online) 15/10/10 40 34 14 ComRes/Independent (O) 01/10/10 39 36 15 ComRes/Independent on Sunday (O) 16/09/10 37 35 15 ComRes/Independent (Phone) 05/09/10 38 34 18 ComRes/Mirror/GMTV (Phone) 15/08/10 39 33 15 ComRes/Independent (Phone) 08/08/10 39 33 16 ComRes/Independent 27/06/10 40 31 18 And the…

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MORI on how the three leaders are being perceived

MORI on how the three leaders are being perceived

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But was the poll as bad for EdM as first reported? One of the great things about Ipsos-MORI is that their polls are generally accompanied by a mass of data and analysis that go well beyond the standard voting intention questions. The above chart is from this weeks survey for Reuters and sets out how those sampled responded to a range of standardised questions about Cameron, Miliband and Clegg. Miliband’s position on most of the measures is basically down to…

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