ComRes splits Total % 18-24 % 25-34 % 35-44 % 45-54% 55-64 % 65 plus % CON 35 17 26 33 31 39 50 LAB 39 59 43 39 39 39 30 LD 12 15 17 14 11 9 10 Is this why 1 in 7 LAB supporters failed to turn-out? One of my pet theories on opinion poll movements is that a lot of the change from survey to survey is driven by the least valuable electors of all…
Poll/publication Date CON % LAB % LD % OTH % ComRes/Independent (Phone) 27/02/11 35 39 12 14 ComRes/Independent (phone) 30/01/11 34 43 10 13 ComRes/Independent (phone) 09/01/11 34 42 12 12 ComRes/Independent (Phone) 29/11/10 36 40 12 12 ComRes/Independent (Phone) 31/10/10 35 37 16 12 But why no AV question? There’s a new ComRes phone poll out for tomorrow’s Indy which shows a four points drop for the reds with a two point increase for the yellows and a one…
Yes – No – Quick Quick -Slow It is part of Britain’s unwritten constitution that referendums are held whenever there is a constitutional issue at stake that crosses party lines. So this begs the question why the Welsh Powers referendum being held on March 3rd is being held at all. This referendum is not on a major constitutional change as Wales has had primary law-making powers since 2007, and the issue at stake is only a technical one as to…
Shouldn’t last week have led to a re-wording? This is the precise wording of the YouGov AV referendum question that was asked yesterday and the results published last night. “The Conservative-Liberal Democrat government are committed to holding a referendum on changing the electoral system from first-past-thepost (FPTP) to the Alternative Vote (AV) At the moment, under first-past-the-post (FPTP), voters select ONE candidate, and the candidate with the most votes wins. It has been suggested that this system should be replaced…
Will YouGov add to YES’s misery? With just ten weeks and one day left before the country votes in the referendum a new survey of members of the YouGov polling panel found that YES has dropped to 34% with NO edging up to 41%. The firm used what has been its standard question which when put last produced a 37-37 response. So with this week’s two polls both showing a move to NO it looks as though those opposed to…
Which is most to blame for the cuts? (YouGov) CON-LD coalition Last Labour government Both of them Neither 21/02/11 25 41 24 5 07/02/11 25 38 26 6 25/01/11 26 40 24 5 10/01/11 22 40 25 8 11/12/10 23 41 24 7 15/11/10 22 43 23 7 07/10/10 17 47 20 10 20/09/10 21 44 22 7 06/09/10 22 45 20 6 31/08/10 23 45 20 6 16/08/10 22 45 21 6 02/08/10 22 45 20 6 19/07/10 21…
Has the former party gen sec got this right? There’s an interesting piece on Labour-Uncut from Peter Watt, former party general secretary, about what he see as the need for Labour to “de-toxify” its brand – the phrase that came to be so associated with the blue team. He writes: “..We lost the general election because we were seen as being arrogant and out of touch. We lost because we were seen as being economically illiterate and having massively overspent….
AV poll (YouGov) Total % Male % Female % 18-24 % 25-39 % 40-59 % 60+ % ABC1 % C2DE % Support AV 34 40 30 39 34 34 33 37 31 Oppose AV 30 34 26 19 19 33 40 30 29 Not sure 36 26 45 42 47 33 27 33 40 Will it be the C2s, Ds and Es who are decisive? The above data is from the NO2AV YouGov poll that was published over the weekend…