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Category: Polls

Should Dave and George worry about the ConHome survey?

Should Dave and George worry about the ConHome survey?

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ConHome survey: Boris most backed at 32% as successor to Dave. Hague24/DDavis10/Gove19/Hammond7/Fox3/Osborne2 bit.ly/QIMidr — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 30, 2012 51% of CON activists DON’T WANT Dave to lead party at gen election – ConHome survey. DC49/BORIS18/Hague/12/..bit.ly/QIMidr — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 30, 2012 ConHome survey: Osborne scores 0% when activists asked who they’d like to lead party at gen election. bit.ly/QIMidr — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 30, 2012 ConHome survey: 53% of party activists think Labour will return to…

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Coalition “managing economy” ratings slump to record low

Coalition “managing economy” ratings slump to record low

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YouGov data: PB chart And another YouGov boost for Vince Cable Preferred Chancellor Total(change) Vince Cable 28% (+6) William Hague 15% (-1) Ken Clarke 9%(-) Phillip Hammond 2% (-1) Theresa May 2%(-) Nick Clegg 2%(-) Don’t know 43% (-4) The change figures shows the shifts in the past week to the question “which of the following do you think would make the best replacement Chancellor of the Exchequer?” Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB

Dave’s “Best Prime Minister” lead narrows to just 5 points

Dave’s “Best Prime Minister” lead narrows to just 5 points

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He was beating Ed by 24% only six months ago When the Tories started to slip behind in the voting intention polling the party would take some comfort in the fact that their man invariably did far better than Ed Miliband in the leadership ratings. We heard it time and time again – there was no way, it was said that voters would ever elect the geeky Ed Miliband as PM. Then in the period following Osborne’s budget cock-ups the…

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The NHS and immigration are the top movers in the MORI Issues Index

The NHS and immigration are the top movers in the MORI Issues Index

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Ipsos-MORI Pensions & education move into the top 10 The July issues index from Ipsos-MORI for the Economist is just out and as can be seen from the chart there are big increases for immigration and the NHS. This polling has been carried out in the same way for 37 years and involves interviewees being asked face to face and completely unprompted to name the main issues they are are facing the country. It is always said that the lack…

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ICM unchanged at CON 34, LAB 39, LD 14

ICM unchanged at CON 34, LAB 39, LD 14

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The July poll from ICM for the Guardian has all three parties unchanged. CON 34/LAB39/LD14 bit.ly/LIeoDq — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 23, 2012 ICM. With Blair as leader it would beLAB 36%(-3), CON 34%(nc) LD 15%9+1) and others 14%. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 23, 2012 ICM: Dave/Geroge trusted by 40% on the economy compared with 29% for the Two Eds. Last month the lead was 9% bit.ly/LIeoDq — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 23, 2012 Just 33% tell ICM that…

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Should Osborne go or stay? The pollsters’ verdict

Should Osborne go or stay? The pollsters’ verdict

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“Osborne should…” GO STAY Populus 38%* 15%* ComRes 44% 20% YouGov 45% 20% But he’s secure, surely, while Dave is PM? Over the past week three major pollsters have asked those in their samples whether the Chancellor, George Osborne, should go. The simplified results are above. The Populus question was “In the next couple of months David Cameron is likely to hold a reshuffle of his Cabinet, for each of the following members of his Cabinet. Please say whether a)…

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Will YouGov fuel the Cable speculation?

Will YouGov fuel the Cable speculation?

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Preferred Chancellor Total Vince Cable 22% William Hague 16% Ken Clarke 9% Phillip Hammond 3% Theresa May 2% Nick Clegg 2% Don’t know 47% We’ve now got the full details of the Sunday Times YouGov finding on who those politicians it is thought would make the best replacement Chancellor for Mr.Osborne. As can be seen there was a high don’t know element. By netting off the don’t knows we find that of those expressing a view 42% go for the…

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YouGov poll boost for Condi and my 40-1 VP bet

YouGov poll boost for Condi and my 40-1 VP bet

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VP possible Most qualified Least qualified Favourable Unfavourable Rob Portman 3% 5% 17% 19% Tim Pawlenty 5% 6% 25% 28% Bobby Jindal 5% 5% 25% 29% Paul Ryan 6% 9% 28% 29% Condoleezza Rice 31% 6% 53% 31% Marco Rubio 6% 9% 29% 28% Economist/YouGov poll How much will her good numbers influence Romney? With Mitt Romney due to announce his choice as running mate within the next month the question of who it will be has become just about…

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