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Category: Polls

Osborne could have a branding problem that would make him an electoral liability

Osborne could have a branding problem that would make him an electoral liability

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pic.twitter.com/Wv1pnN50y8 — PolPics (@PolPics) December 7, 2013 Voters turn against when told that a plan has his backing Yesterday’s Ipsos-MORI poll on the Autumn Statement raises an issue that could be troublesome for the Tories as they head into the general election – a branding problem when George Osborne is involved. Back in March the firm asked people to choose between two statements about the best way to deal with Britain’s economic difficulties – either tackling the national debt or…

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The drip feed of the marginals polling could lead to more of the CON intake of 2010 deciding to call it a day

The drip feed of the marginals polling could lead to more of the CON intake of 2010 deciding to call it a day

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How many will follow the Laura Sandys route? We’ll have to wait until the early hours of May 8th 2015 before we can start to say for sure whether the Ashcroft marginals polling or the Alan Bown funded Survation polls are in anyway accurate but they could have a more immediate impact – on the decisions of many in the Conservative “class of 2010“ on whether to continue in politics. For a consequence of the marginals and single constituency polling…

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Another polling blow for the Tories in phase 2 of the CON marginals polling funded by a UKIP donor

Another polling blow for the Tories in phase 2 of the CON marginals polling funded by a UKIP donor

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70% of UKIP Voters DID NOT vote CON at GE2010 After last week’s Thanet South poll there’s a second wave just out funded by UKIP donor Alan Bown and carried out by Survation. The picture that’s emerging is very similar to what the Ashcroft marginals poll found in September – that the Tories are faring worse in the key battlegrounds than in the country as a whole. The focus in the latest phase was on two of the key marginals…

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NOTE – TO ACCESS MAIN SITE GO TO WWW.POLITICALBETTING.COM

NOTE – TO ACCESS MAIN SITE GO TO WWW.POLITICALBETTING.COM

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URL change: To access the latest posts please click www.politicalbetting.com For three and a half years I have highlighted the YouGov “most to blame for the cuts” tracker as, perhaps, a good non-voting intention tracker. On the face of it you’d think that if the red team was continuing to get the blame with less than a year and a half to go then it would start to appear in the voting numbers. Yet that doesn’t seem to be happening….

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Polling suggests that it is going to be harder for Tories to win UKIP votes than for the LDs to win LAB ones

Polling suggests that it is going to be harder for Tories to win UKIP votes than for the LDs to win LAB ones

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Double the %age of LAB voters will help LDs as UKIP ones the Tories Last week’s Survation Thanet South polling last week highlighted the reluctance of UKIP voters to switch to the Tories in order to stop EdM being PM. Given that the extent that UKIP switchers are ready to vote blue looks set to be a key determinant at GE2015 I’ve been looking for other data on the issue. Spetember’s massive 12,800 sample phone poll of marginals produced by…

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Sunday Morning Polling Round Up

Sunday Morning Polling Round Up

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UKIP have their highest score since 11th June with YouGov Con 30 (-3) Lab 38 (-2) LD 10 (+1) UKIP 15 (+4) Changes since last week — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) December 1, 2013 And UKIP hit their highest score with Opinium since Mid July Con 28 (nc) Lab 35 (-2) LD 8 (-1) UKIP 19 (+3) — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) December 1, 2013 There were a couple of polls out last night, both seeing UKIP score figures they haven’t hit since the…

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Ipsos Mori November 2013 Issues Index and Local By-Election Results : November 28th 2013

Ipsos Mori November 2013 Issues Index and Local By-Election Results : November 28th 2013

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The Ipsos-Mori issues index for November is out, the field work ended on the 10th of November.   Ipsos-Mori Issues Index for Nov is out New PB Thread http://t.co/uJnRxdRYii pic.twitter.com/ovrJF46TKs — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) November 29, 2013 General concern about the economy continues to fall as concern shifts to poverty/inequality and the personal economy. Highest level of concern about low pay and poverty/inequality Ipsos MORI have ever recorded. Immigration is in second place, as it has been for the last five months, is race…

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