Harris poll for The Metro Mar 9 Feb 22 CONSERVATIVES 37% 39% LABOUR 29% 30% LIB DEMS 18% 22% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5.5% 6% And “others” soar in another online poll As the polling deluge continues there’s another survey out this evening from Harris Interactive for the Metro. The figures are above with the big move, surely, being a huge increase in the numbers saying that they will vote for one of the other parties – mostly…
Notice how others are large – like Angus Reid The new kid on the polling block, Opinium, has published its historic polls and it is interesting to track how it compares with everybody else. The striking feature for me is that it consistently has a high share for others – very much in line with the PB/Angus Reid polls. Maybe it’s something about online polling? A disappointment is that it makes no attempt to politically weight its samples. This probably…
CON 38% (39) LAB 32% (33) LD 17%(17) No change in the lead but “others” rise These numbers have come directly from Peter Kellner and show no change in the lead. The main difference on the past three polls is the increased share going to others – a trend that we saw with ICM. There will be disappointment in Tory ranks that margin is still at the same level and that bullygate appears to have had little impact apart from,…
CON 40% (38) LAB 26% (25) LD 18% (20) But Labour gets its biggest AR share yet There’s a new PB/Angus Reid poll out this evening which shows both Labour and the Tories moving forward at the expense of the Lib Dems. The Labour share has continued the steady improvement from the 22% at the end of November. This evening’s 26% is the highest that the pollster has recorded since the PB/Angus Reid polling series began last October. Even though…
Research Director, Andy Morris, answers your questions (Every time there’s a new PB/Angus Reid poll a lot of comments are made here and elsewhere about the firm and I thought it useful if Andy Morris could write a post and be available to answer questions. A particular issue has been the lower Labour shares compared with other firms though it’s worth pointing out as well that since we started AR is the only pollster not to record a Tory share…
CON 38% (40) LAB 25% (24) LD 20% (19) And will “others” will be squeezed by polling day? There’s a new exclusive PB/Angus Reid poll just out where the fieldwork started on Tuesday and finished only last night. The shares are above and show the Tories down a touch with Labour at its highest ever recorded level with the online pollster. This is the first full national survey to have been carried out since the three Labour MPs and a…
Angus Reid Public Opinion It’s the only one showing them not shedding votes Our headline might sound counter-intuitive for the sixth survey in the PB/Angus Reid series, published last night, followed an established pattern and once again had 40-24-20 the smallest share for Labour of all the firms. Yet unlike all the other pollsters to have reported so far in 2010 Angus Reid is the only one that has the party currently led by Mr. Brown at the same level…
And could Cameron be creating hostages to fortune? Wow. What a busy morning. Is it going to be like this right through to the general election day whenever that is? What’s caught my eye is this Tory NHS poster and the way all the emphasis is put on Cameron – “I’ll cut the deficit. Not the NHS” Is this going to be a common element in other campaign material? Clearly this has been through the focus groups and reflects what…