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Category: Nick Clegg

Dave is starting to edge into the “leader most at risk” slot

Dave is starting to edge into the “leader most at risk” slot

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Clegg is now equally or more secure in his position as leader than Cameron. These Hills odds look attractive twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 22, 2012 Why my Mitchell exit winnings went on Clegg lasting longer On Satruday I reinvested the projected profits from the Mitchell exit bets on the William Hill market on which of Cameron or Clegg would last longer as party leader. At the time the odds were 1/7 Cameron and 4/1 Clegg. Given that think…

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Ashdown’s appointment makes it more certain that Clegg will survive

Ashdown’s appointment makes it more certain that Clegg will survive

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Dave is now the most vulnerable party leader? Probably the most significant aspect of Clegg’s conference speech was the appointment of ex-leader, Paddy Ashdown as head of the party’s 2015 general election campaign. This has been discussed in terms of his ability to reach Labour tactical voters who are central to the party holding onto those seats where the Tories are in second place. He’s also good at motivating activists. Ashdown, as we saw with his relations with Blair, was…

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Tory inactivity on the ground is helping the Lib Dems and Nick Clegg

Tory inactivity on the ground is helping the Lib Dems and Nick Clegg

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Striking how many senior LibDems who have the Tories 2nd in their seats say they are not yet seeing any Tory challenge to them on the ground — James Forsyth (@JGForsyth) September 25, 2012 Why’ve the blues taken their foot off the gas? Whenever anybody has talked about leadership challenges at the Brighton LD conference this week the message that you hear is that this would only happen once incumbent MPs start to panic. Given that in the lion’s share…

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Poll blows for Nick Clegg as the party faithful gather in Brighton

Poll blows for Nick Clegg as the party faithful gather in Brighton

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Daily Mirror Just 25% of LDs think they’ll do better keeping him A new Survation poll for today’s Daily Mirror, taken partly after Clegg “Sorry” video shows no change for the party, The only movement on the firm’s last poll in the Mail on Sunday a month ago has been a three point increase in the LAB vote at the expense of others. These are the figures: CON 30(nc):LAB 40(+3):LD 10(nc): UKIP 12(nc) The firm almost always reports the biggest…

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Clegg’s survival as Lib Dem leader must now be in more doubt

Clegg’s survival as Lib Dem leader must now be in more doubt

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Everything depends on the “apology” turning things round Unless last night’s “apology” over making the pre-election student fees pledge turns things round for the party then it is hard to see how Nick Clegg can survive until the general election. Parliamentary parties are generally unsentimental about these things. If enough of a party’s MPs think that there’s a better chance of holding onto their seats at the general election with a different leader then with the Tories and Lib Dems…

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Clegg’s Ipsos-MORI leadership ratings plummet to a new low

Clegg’s Ipsos-MORI leadership ratings plummet to a new low

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Ipsos-MORI And more polling numbers for EdM to worry about We’ve now got the full details of the September political monitor from Ipsos-MORI. The voting intention numbers are CON 30%(-2): LAB 41%(-1): LDEM 13%(+2). The big interest is on the leadership ratings, as seen in the graphic above, and the continued decline for Nick Clegg. Not only are these the worst ratings on record for the Deputy Prime Minister just 43% of existing party supporters told the firm that they…

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Conference season will be looked at through the prism of leadership issues

Conference season will be looked at through the prism of leadership issues

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Everything contenders say will be scrutinised & magnified Just six days to be before the start of the 2012 party conference season and my betting is that leadership issues will be a common theme at at least two and possibly three of them. We’ve seen the media obsession with both Boris and Vince and with Labour Ed Miliband has yet to fully convince the home team. An indication that there might be trouble ahead is that with the Tories and…

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