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Category: London and local elections

Corbyn’s impending victory affects the Mayoral betting

Corbyn’s impending victory affects the Mayoral betting

Take on the mystery Betfair punter Mike ran a thread the other day looking for markets that might be affected by Jeremy Corbyn’s likely victory in the Labour leadership stakes. He highlighted NO in the EU betting where I’d agree odds of nearly 4/1 are tempting. However to my mind there are even better bets available in the London Mayoral voting – which will still be value even if Corbyn falls just short. Labour’s candidate is being decided on the same…

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The ethnic minority vote could be decisive in London’s Mayoral election where nearly 40% were born overseas

The ethnic minority vote could be decisive in London’s Mayoral election where nearly 40% were born overseas

Survation finds generic LAB has 9% lead Some interesting polling from Survation this afternoon looks at the likely ethic voter impact in next May’s Mayoral election. Initially the sample was asked a generic question – see chart above. Respondents were then asked, following the clips of Goldsmith and Khan: If the election for the next Mayor of London were between the following candidates, whom would you vote for as the next Mayor of London with your first vote? Results were:…

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The Mayor of London – the first big electoral test for LAB’s new leader

The Mayor of London – the first big electoral test for LAB’s new leader

Tessa now back ahead of Zac in Betfair betting for 2016 London Mayoral election pic.twitter.com/SKXCWorGYC — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 3, 2015   James Burt (TheWhiteRabbit) looks at the contenders   The Labour Candidate Six Labour candidates made it onto the party’s shortlist: Diane Abbott, Tessa Jowell, Sadiq Khan, David Lammy, Gareth Thomas and Christian Wolmar. One will be chosen by ballot of Labour members and affiliates and announced over the same weekend as the party’s Leader and Deputy Leader…

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How a third runway at Heathrow could make for a real Old Etonian mess for Cameron

How a third runway at Heathrow could make for a real Old Etonian mess for Cameron

David Cameron in 2013 reaffirming his 2009 pledge that “The third runway at Heathrow is not going ahead, no ifs, no buts.” It might be a novel experience for the Tory Party to be split on issue other than than EU, but the third runway at Heathrow has the potential to be just as problematic. Today the Davies report has backed building a third runway at Heathrow. The above video shows Cameron in 2013 reaffirming a 2009 pledge not to build…

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Another reason to justify Zac’s status as favourite

Another reason to justify Zac’s status as favourite

Another reason why @ZacGoldsmith is the favourite to be the next Mayor of London. http://t.co/S7hfYnxdwv pic.twitter.com/FTAqGBMejz — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 24, 2015 London calling for a third time for the architect of the Tory general election victory? At the general election in London, relatively speaking, Labour did better, the Tories did worse than the rest of the country, which might indicate a slight resistance to Crosby’s methods. However given his past success in London with the current mayor, this should…

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Zac becomes the favourite to be the next London Mayor

Zac becomes the favourite to be the next London Mayor

.@ZacGoldsmith's constituents back his attempt to become London Mayor. http://t.co/ixQdxdBGC7 pic.twitter.com/vFRuYCrYtE — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 23, 2015 Zac takes over as favourite to be elected London Mayor. 2/1 Zac 5/2 Jowell 10/3 Khan via @LadPolitics pic.twitter.com/keApCRF0IP — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 23, 2015 The other important news is that Goldsmith has persuaded, another contender, Nick de Bois, to be his campaign chairman, which is a sign that people see his nomination as inevitable. Taking the 1/2 that Paddy Power are offering…

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Henry G Manson says It’s advantage Sadiq in the London Labour contest

Henry G Manson says It’s advantage Sadiq in the London Labour contest

You know when a candidate is losing when they start to blame the rules of the game. We don’t get more proof than in London right now. Len Duvall, a backer of Tessa Jowell’s bid to be Labour mayoral candidate, has publicly warned of the dangers of muslims and trade union members registering to vote in the Labour mayoral selection. He questioned whether this was in the ‘spirit’ of the contest. It may be shameless but Len knows what he is…

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Looking ahead to who will be the Tory London Mayoral Candidate

Looking ahead to who will be the Tory London Mayoral Candidate

In less than a year Londoners will elect the successor to Boris Johnson, but who will be the Tory candidate? I suspect the candidate will someone with a high profile, and the ideal choice, would be Lord Coe, but it is believed his future is focussed upon the IOC, so who then? Zac Goldsmith is the current favourite, but the value in him has gone now. One of the reasons, I’m no longer backing any current Tory MP is given…

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