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Category: Labour leadership

Labour’s Next Leader: Dawn Butler at 100/1?

Labour’s Next Leader: Dawn Butler at 100/1?

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We need to learn the lessons of Corbyn’s wins Identifying Labour’s future leaders used to be a relatively easy job, certainly when compared against the Tories. Gaitskell, Wilson, Callaghan, Smith and Brown were all clearly identifiable as strong contenders five years or more before they took on the job. Blair, at that same distance, could have been seen (rightly, as it turned out), as a future potential leader but not the next one. Kinnock and Ed Miliband were a little…

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Now we’ve got some non-YouGov polls showing CON leads the position looks a tad less good for LAB

Now we’ve got some non-YouGov polls showing CON leads the position looks a tad less good for LAB

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Including the three new polls published tonight all the voting intention surveys so far in 2019 from Wikipedia pic.twitter.com/lzC2jqualW — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 19, 2019 With three new voting intention polls out in the past couple of hours this has been the biggest evening for Westminster surveys June 7th 2017 – the day before the last general election. One of the positive things for LAB until this evening is that no other pollster than YouGov had shown a CON…

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Alastair Meeks reviews the next Labour leader betting

Alastair Meeks reviews the next Labour leader betting

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  Whenever I want something sensational to read, I look at my Betfair account.  It’s not always sensationally good, but there’s always something to consider.  The markets I usually end up checking out are the long term ones: next Prime Minister, next Conservative leader and next Labour leader in particular.  These three markets have much in common and indeed overlap heavily: the next Prime Minister is likely to be one of Jeremy Corbyn, the next Conservative leader and the next…

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Lessons from Labour’s conference for the Conservatives

Lessons from Labour’s conference for the Conservatives

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Leadership Labour have, on balance, had a good conference, which should of course worry Conservatives like myself. Their leadership is now in full ascendancy – indeed many of the Corbynsceptic PLP stayed away. Brexit was largely elided (of which more later), so the actual splits in evidence were merely between different degrees of Corbynism. On reselection, Momentum butted heads with the unions and came off slightly worse, for now. (Watch that space…) And Corbyn himself is now much improved as…

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While the nation faces huge and historic issues over Brexit Labour gathers in Liverpool to talk about itself

While the nation faces huge and historic issues over Brexit Labour gathers in Liverpool to talk about itself

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Meanwhile Phil Collins is dead right – while the Tories go through their Brexit travails all Corbyn's LAB wants to talk about is itself https://t.co/NYSLTbXBkN — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 21, 2018 Today’s Times column by Phillip Collins hits the nail on the head about Labour and its current state. “..The issues of the hour are historic. Are any of the half-formed answers to the Irish border question at all practicable? Will the strong desire of the European Union 27…

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Et tu, John? Is another JC set to get stabbed in the back by a close ally?

Et tu, John? Is another JC set to get stabbed in the back by a close ally?

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Well this is very interesting. 'Allies of McDonnell claim he has become increasingly frustrated with Corbyn and his team over their botched handling of the anti-semitism row this summer, which overshadowed a carefully planned grid of policy announcements'. https://t.co/WlZKpJoRxK pic.twitter.com/wyCug9xTV6 — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 16, 2018 The truly great, such as Caesar & Thatcher, are removed from power by their allies stabbing them in the back, is Corbyn about to join that club? The Sunday Times reports While those who…

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Further thoughts on Chris Williamson succeeding Jeremy Corbyn

Further thoughts on Chris Williamson succeeding Jeremy Corbyn

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Earlier on this week I wrote a piece on Chris Williamson’s odds to succeed Jeremy Corbyn tumbling from 100/1 to 33/1 in a week, I also explained the reasons why I wouldn’t be jumping aboard that betting bandwagon. The tweets below from Theo Bertram are a response to my initial tweets on the subject. Theo is someone who knows the Labour party very well, he has been an adviser to both Tony Blair and Gordon Brown, so I really do…

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Chris Williamson’s odds to succeed Corbyn move from 100/1 to 33/1 in a week

Chris Williamson’s odds to succeed Corbyn move from 100/1 to 33/1 in a week

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Ladbrokes: Chris Williamson is now 33/1 to become the next Labour leader, in from 100/1 last week pic.twitter.com/wp1El4c8vn — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) September 4, 2018 Why I’m not jumping aboard on this betting bandwagon The major betting news today is the odds of Derby North MP Chris Williamson tumbling from 100/1 last week to 33/1 today. My primary reason for not backing Williamson is that if someone from the Corbynite wing of the party succeeds they will need explicit public…

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