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Category: Labour leadership

Smith should acknowledge that JC’s the likely winner and press for the highest possible vote to “send a message to the party”

Smith should acknowledge that JC’s the likely winner and press for the highest possible vote to “send a message to the party”

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The challenger needs to change strategy This morning there’s been another effort by the Smith campaign to claim that “private polling” suggests that the battle is close and that he could win. This might or might not be right but until we see a proper selectorate poll showing something different the overwhelming narrative will be that that JC is heading to hang on to his job. There’s no point in the Smith campaign making assertions which are simply not believed…

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Showing the “human face” of the PLP – how MPs who were let down by Corbyn can help deliver victory to Smith

Showing the “human face” of the PLP – how MPs who were let down by Corbyn can help deliver victory to Smith

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Don Brind on Smith’s message to 2015 Corbyn voters with buyers’ remorse “I’ll tell you what sums up Jeremy Corbyn for me. When we had a march through Westminster he made sure he was right at the front and carrying a banner. But when it came to the hard graft – talking to businesses and government he was nowhere to be seen.” Anna Turley the MP for Redcar is perched on a desk in her office in front of her…

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The PLP indicate that they expect Corbyn to win and that they won’t split

The PLP indicate that they expect Corbyn to win and that they won’t split

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Interesting story about what the PLP will do if Corbyn wins the leadership contesthttps://t.co/X0Hc8AsJPL pic.twitter.com/WGrWK24bkS — TSE (@TSEofPB) August 21, 2016 Labour MPs set to hoist Corbyn by his own petard? There’s an interesting story in today’s Sunday Times (££) which Politicshome have covered for free here, it says The Sunday Times reports the “party within a party” framework will be based on the Socialist Campaign Group of MPs, which counts Mr Corbyn as a member. According to the paper,…

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Mr. Corbyn is fortunate that LAB’s selectorate doesn’t appear to prioritise winning the next election

Mr. Corbyn is fortunate that LAB’s selectorate doesn’t appear to prioritise winning the next election

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https://twitter.com/RaianDavies/status/766537211625938944 His NATO comments should be fatal but they aren’t Voting packs start going out on Monday in Labour’s election in which Mr. Corbyn is attempting to hang onto his job in the face of a challenge from Owen Smith who was almost a total unknown a month ago. Don Brind has been arguably strongly here that the election could be a lot closer than the general perception. In the absence of new selectorate polling this is hard to assess….

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The polling evidence against Corbyn mounts. Smith’s beating him by 24% as “best PM”

The polling evidence against Corbyn mounts. Smith’s beating him by 24% as “best PM”

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By 58% to 42% those polled by BMG say Smith would make best leader. Smith wins best comparison by 62 to 38https://t.co/TaOtCC9Lct — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 16, 2016 From today’s PB YouGov poll The response from JC's own generation, 65+, looks terrible for Labour. These people vote pic.twitter.com/aseafF5YNi — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 16, 2016

Don Brind says there’s no solid evidence for making Corbyn odds on favourite. He could lose.

Don Brind says there’s no solid evidence for making Corbyn odds on favourite. He could lose.

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Momentum might being beaten at their own game Back in 2007 I emailed Mike Smithson: “You should advise your readers: ‘don’t bet on an election unless you understand the voting system’” At the time the pollsters and the bookies were making Alan Johnson favourite to become Labour deputy leader. I was a member of Harriet Harman’s campaign and I knew how much effort was going into getting second preferences from other candidates. In the event, the second preferences from John…

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The 100/1 bet on the next Labour leader that quite a few of us have taken this last week

The 100/1 bet on the next Labour leader that quite a few of us have taken this last week

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At 50/1 Shadow Justice Secretary, Richard Burgon, remains value to be the next Labour leader Earlier on this week I decided to back Richard Burgon to be the next Labour leader at 100/1. My logic was that the Labour party is continually moving strongly towards the Corbynite left, as evidenced by the NEC election results and that the polls indicate that despite the disastrous personal polling that Corbyn has, and the mass no confidence that Labour MPs have in Corbyn,…

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