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Category: International

Will “Angie’s” third term be with the reds or the yellows?

Will “Angie’s” third term be with the reds or the yellows?

It's General Election day in Germany Can Merkel win again? Exit polls out late afternoon pic.twitter.com/lPNcEj03Un — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 22, 2013 Unless the polls have been very wrong, Angela Merkel is heading for a third term as German Chancellor, a feat that only Adenauer and Kohl have managed since 1949 (and they both went on to win four elections). The great theme of stability in German politics will thus continue, with only four changes in governing party, and only eight…

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Why Ed Miliband can take some comfort from Tony Abbott’s victory in Australia

Why Ed Miliband can take some comfort from Tony Abbott’s victory in Australia

In July he was 14% behind as “preferred Prime Minister” One footnote from the last week’s Austrailian general election and the change of government is that the new prime minister trailed Kevin Rudd in the approval and “preferred Prime Minister” ratings. Only a few weeks ago the eventual winner was 14% behind in some of the polls while the man who was to lose, Kevin Rudd, became the only Australian party leader in two and a half years to have…

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TSE on Making Your Mind Up on who to back at Eurovision.

TSE on Making Your Mind Up on who to back at Eurovision.

Whilst the polls show Brits remain cynical about Eurovision and think it is all about politics, some of us enjoy Eurovision for that reason, for the music and the betting opportunities. With the elimination of the Former Yugoslavian states of Slovenia, Croatia, Montenegro, Serbia, Macedonia in the semi finals, and Bosnia and Herzegovina withdrawing from the contest, due to financial reasons, there’s a potential for less Balkan bloc voting this time around which could make the final result more open. There are many…

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Next weekend’s Italian Election by Andrea Parma

Next weekend’s Italian Election by Andrea Parma

Can Silvio prevent a left majority? Italy is set to hold parliamentary elections on February 24-25th. In 2008 Silvio Berlusconi comfortably won, leading the centre-left coalition of Walter Veltroni by around 9%. As is often the case on the Italian political scene, his government couldn’t finish its 5 year term and Mario Monti took over as a “technocrat” PM in late 2011. 47 lists or coalitions of lists are contesting this election but just five coalitions are likely to poll…

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Greece: The punters had Samaras’s victory right all along

Greece: The punters had Samaras’s victory right all along

The biggest betting night since the UK general election The tight victory by Antonis Samaras’s ND party ended what was almost certainly the biggest night of political betting since the UK general election in May 2010. Overall on Betfair’s various markets more than £1.6m was traded a large part of that in the final 24 hours. Interestingly, in view of the way the election was being reported, the ND was always favourite. The longest price on ND that you could…

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Greece June 2012 – Election Night Special

Greece June 2012 – Election Night Special

Wikimedia Commons Is this the most important election ever? It’s often heard from politicians seeking votes that “this is the most important election for a generation” – I have yet to hear an election being described as “not terribly important”. But today’s poll in Greece can be justifiably described as critical and potentially historic. Can a new government be formed this time, and will the country be continuing with the bailout in some form with ND/Pasok or taking a radically…

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