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That ComRes poll

That ComRes poll

I’ve just got back from Manchester to find an email waiting about the ComRes poll from Andrew Hawkins, CEO of ComRes. He writes:- “The final analysis of the ComRes instant poll for last night’s ITV News at Ten among those watching the First Election Debate, extrapolated across the GB adult population as a whole, puts the Conservatives on 35%, Labour on 28% and Liberal Democrats on 24%. This compares to the ComRes poll broadcast on ITV News at Ten on…

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So can he take the Lib Dems past Labour?

So can he take the Lib Dems past Labour?

Can Clegg’s party beat the 1983 share? So, the first round of debates is over, and by a clear margin all of the major post-debate polls have declared Nick Clegg to be the winner. (For what it’s worth, I thought Clegg was slightly ahead of Cameron, and both were well ahead of Brown.) So what happens now? We’ve already seen a Lib Dem bounce of four points in today’s YouGov – how will Clegg’s debate performance translate into the Lib…

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Debate continuation thread

Debate continuation thread

So who’s winning so far? UPDATE: ITV poll: Clegg 43 Cameron 26 Brown 20 YouGov: Clegg 51 Cameron 29 Brown 19 Angus Reid: Clegg 46 Cameron 21 Brown 19 Live results from Angus Reid’s polling panel are available here. Double Carpet (Twitter:@electiongame) The Election Game, covering over 30 countries, is at www.electiongame.co.uk

Labour get within 3 with TNS-BRMB

Labour get within 3 with TNS-BRMB

TNS-BMRB Apr 13 Mar 30 CONSERVATIVES 36% 38% LABOUR 33% 33% LIB DEMS 22% 19% LAB to CON swing from 2005 3% 4% TNS-BRMB – the face to face pollster that asks interviewees to input their voting intentions on a lap-top – has a new poll out with the gap down to just three points. Like all the surveys we have seen from the firm the field-work took an entire week to carry out finishing off on Tuesday. So some…

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The debate: watch the polling returns coming in live

The debate: watch the polling returns coming in live

Will this give us the first indication? Tonight’s a massive night for political betting and for the pollsters. The sponsors of PB’s election coverage, Ladbrokes, reckon this will be be biggest day ever for betting on a British political event. To get in on the act a new betting exchange with a focus on politics, Political Smarkets, has been launched. They aim to compete with Betfair in this key area. As soon as it finishes the big question will be…

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