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Category: General

How many gains will the Republicans make on November 2nd?

How many gains will the Republicans make on November 2nd?

As we get closer Tim T looks at the prospects These mid-terms started with the 109th Congress. By 2006, deficits and scandals meant libertarians and socially liberal fiscal conservatives had little reason left to vote Republican. The GOP deserved to lose the House and Senate – and they did. By 2008, both the Bush and GOP brands were toxic. Even so, McCain nearly won – in early September, he led in the polls. 3 gaffes cost him dearly: admitting his…

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Are these ComRes questions leading?

Are these ComRes questions leading?

Will the findings tell us much about public opinion? According to the the Indy on Sunday’s John Rentoul there’s a new ComRes poll tonight which as well as the standard voting intention question asks whether people agree or disagree with the following:- “The Coalition Government understands the interests of the wealthy better than the interests of ordinary people” “It is fair that students should pay more for their university education even though their parents’ generation didn’t” “Welfare benefit cuts will…

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What price a pre-2015 election?

What price a pre-2015 election?

Is this the week we find out just how strong the coalition is? Back in May, it all looked so easy, relaxed and natural. Cameron and Clegg joking at the press conference in the Number Ten garden, negotiations concluded smoothly between the parties, ministers working together round the cabinet table and so on. This week, it was a lot harder, with Lib Dem MP’s voting for huge rises in tuition fees and Tory MP’s voting for the UK’s contribution to…

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EdM wins the first PMQs on points?

EdM wins the first PMQs on points?

Will this calm the doubters on his own side? I thought Ed Miliband did extremely well first time out and marked it 5/10 Cameron to 7/10 EdM. His focus on the child benefit changes was clearly the right strategy and his persistent and restrained tone must have come as something as a shock to the PM who on a number of occasions looked flustered. His attacks on Labour for causing the financial problems didn’t convince. Clearly Cameron had no idea…

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Would Osborne prefer to be facing Ed Balls?

Would Osborne prefer to be facing Ed Balls?

Is the “commentariat” underestimating Johnson? At just after 2.30pm in the commons this afternoon the new shadow chancellor in Ed Miliband’s line-up, Alan Johnson, takes on George Osborne in their first treasury questions. There’ll be many, no doubt, including those sitting on his side of the house who’ll be thinking that Labour would do better if Balls or Cooper had been there instead. Winning the economic argument looks set to be absolutely central to the general election and Labour, many…

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Can you predict the public’s reaction to the cuts packages?

Can you predict the public’s reaction to the cuts packages?

What will the Guardian’s November ICM poll be showing? A Labour lead of 5% or above A Labour lead of 3-4% A Labour lead of 1-2% The Tories and Labour level pegging A Tory lead of 1-2% A Tory lead of 3-4% A Tory lead of 5% or above    What are next month’s polls going to look like? Just over a week to go before the coalition’s big statement on how its going to achieve its ambitions to cut…

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