Will his campaign help keep Iraq in the news? The ex-Labour and now Respect MP, George Galloway is to stand in the East End of London at the next General Election. He made his announcement after winning his High Court libel action against the Daily Telegraph newspaper. He has chosen the constituency of Bethnal Green and Bow, currently held for Labour by Oona King. Respect won a council seat in nearby Tower Hamlets in July. Mr Galloway is currently the…
Due to technical problems, the Election Prediction thread has been temporarily lost. We hope to recover it later this afternoon. (Sorry for spoiling your discussions.) Robert
William Hill are offering odds 7/2 against David Blunkett ceasing to be Home Secretary by January 1 2005. As yet the market is not available online. The price seems tempting.
Let’s do some number crunching With just over five months from the predicted General Election day of 05/05/05 it’s time we started making some forecasts of what we think might happen first in terms of the vote share and secondly the number of Commons seats. LABOUR VOTES. Our formula is based in the chronic tendency of the pollsters to always over-state Labour. In two of the last three General Election every single poll from every single pollster produced an exaggerated…
For sometime now we’ve been meaning to draw users attention to the extraordinary internet book by the polling blogger, operator of UK Pollingreport and regular contributor to Politicalbetting, Anthony Wells. It’s called “What if Gordon Banks had played” and is a fun-packed counterfactual political history of the 1970s based on the premise that Banks played in the quarter-final of the 1970 World Cup three days before the General Election that ended Harold Wilson’s Government and saw Edward Heath’s Tories win…
But you can get TWICE the price on US focused markets With London’s bid to host the 2012 Olympic games being presented to the International Olympic Committee in Switzerland gamblers on either side of the Atlantic are taking a completely different view of its chances. In London the price is down to 3/1 but in markets serving the US you can get more than 6/1. It’s the same story the other way round with New York. In the UK you…
We want your views With political betting activity being quiet at the moment we thought that this would be a good time to work on the long-promised re-design of the site. Are there things you would like to see? How can we make the site better? In hand we have plans to do more to explain some of the modern betting systems to novice gamblers. We want a better forum structure and we want your views. Someone described this recently…
Has the sentiment moved a bit to Michael Howard? For the first time for weeks there’s been some movement on the spread markets. After staying almost static for nearly a month IG have marked the Tories up 2 seats and the Lib Dems down 2. The latest prices are:- LAB 340-348 (n/c): CON 202-210 (+2): LIBD 68-72 (-2) Both these price changes were anticipated by Politicalbetting. After strongly saying BUY LD from 58 seats upwards in June we advised site…