A full round up of pictures from the party is available at the site of Lucille de Villiers – the fiance of my son Robert and the designer of the Politicalbetting masthead. I’m having some problems putting them on this site but this is my favourite – Sophia and Graham seeing each other’s point of view! This has Book-Value and Robert in the foreground with Augustus Carp and Icarus at the bar. In this one TomThumb (pink shirt) talks with…
Would success here boost Tony Blair’s position The betting prices on London’s 2012 Olympic bid have tightened sharply following today’s report inspection report which praised the planning that had gone into the submission. On the international Tradesports market London’s price moved from the equivalent of about 10/1 to 6/1. Paris, meanwhile, retained its heavy front runner status but eased from about 1/9 to 1/7. The best UK bookmaker price on London is now just 7/2 while the Betfair betting exchange…
Will party workers be less reluctant to “help” postal voters get their ballots in? In an article in the Times just three weeks before polling day Cheadle was singled out as the prime example of a marginal constituency where there had been a big increase in postal votes over 2001. It noted on April 15th that In Cheadle, Manchester, where the Liberal Democrats have a majority of 33, the number of applications stands at 8,226, nearly five times the 1,695…
One of the quirks of modern British politics is that for the last twenty-six years whoever has been the Prime Minister has sat at Westminster for a seat on the A1 trunk road. Margaret Thatcher’s Finchley rests at the southern end of the main route to Edinburgh; John Major’s Huntingdon is on the A1 as it goes through Cambridgeshire and Tony Blair’s Sedgefield covers both sides of the highway in County Durham. So is this “rule” which has lasted a…
ICM’s 6% lead pushes the markets further to Labour Projected vote shares: LAB 36.75: CON 35.25: LS 20.75 Projected Election Outcome LAB majority 64 seats (+4) We have now included a vote-share projection to our regular BALANCE OF MONEY prediction based on how spread betting gamblers are investing their money on all the main UK markets from Spreadfair, IG Index, and Sporting Index. We take the mid-points in the commons seats and vote share markets and produce an average in…
Today’s Politicalbetting “BALANCE OF MONEY†prediction: Labour majority 60 (nc) Mori poll: Labour now 4% ahead Tories 5/1 to win England Not much change in the spread markets means that out Balance of Money prediction remains the same at a Labour majority of 60 seats. This is based on where the money is going and represents the balance of opinion of punters ready to back their opinions with cash. We take the mid-point Labour spread price from Spreadfair, IG Index,…
Today’s Politicalbetting “BALANCE OF MONEY†prediction: Labour majority 60 (nc) Mori poll: Labour now 4% ahead Tories 5/1 to win England Not much change in the spread markets means that out Balance of Money prediction remains the same at a Labour majority of 60 seats. This is based on where the money is going and represents the balance of opinion of punters ready to back their opinions with cash. We take the mid-point Labour spread price from Spreadfair, IG Index,…
REVISED POLITICALBETTING “BALANCE OF MONEY†prediction: Labour majority 54 One of the four spread bookmakers that are included in the daily calculation has marked Labour up sharply this morning following the latest batch of opinion polls – but this has not been followed by the others. The result is that there is no change although the average mid-point of the Labour spreads is now 350.06 seats. In order to make the prediction as accurate as possible we take the current…