……and the part 1 winner is ROGER Last Sunday we launched a small prize competition. People were asked to you use their imagination to guess what will be the next David Cameron policy move after “Hug a Hoodie” There were two prizes on offer – copies of my book on politics and betting that’s just been commissioned and will be published during 2007. The first will go to the most amusing and original answer. The second will be decided after…
How Lebanon is hitting Tony Blair If you think that there has been too much polling data on PB.C this week then I am sorry but you’ll have to brace yourself for a whole lot more. For this morning I am delighted to announce that PB.C has come to an arrangement with YouGov for the regular supply of political polling data from the firm’s daily Brand Index survey. This will allow the site to feature what I’m calling – The…
The wait for the July ICM poll continues It’s now just on 2am and I am off to bed. There is no sign on the Guardian’s web pages of the July ICM survey even though they must have had the data for a couple of days. After suggesting yesterday that the paper was playing a form of striptease this appeared in our comments thread at 5.19pm yesterday evening – “Sorry to keep you waiting for the rest of the poll….
For some reason the comments facility on the previous article does not work. Please can we use this one.
..and why are men unmoved by Cameron? From the full dataset, now available, from last week’s ICM poll for Newsnight it’s clear that the leadership ratings presented on the programme might have given a misleading impression. A chart was shown indicating that those interviewed rated Cameron at 41, Brown at 37: and Campbell at 24 when asked whether the three had the qualities needed to be Prime Minister. This prompted discussion here because the shares added up to 102%. Now…
Can you predict David Cameron’s next amazing policy initiative? There’s little doubt that “Hug a Hoodie”, like the earlier attack on WH Smith’s for selling Chocolate Oranges, have becoming defining themes for the new Tory leadership. But what’s going to be next? Clearly it has to be something that is so distant from what you would expect to hear from a Tory leader that it will, at first, appear totally shocking. Can you use your imaginiation to guess what will…
The Shape of Things to Come? It is an axiom of politics in Northern Ireland, that an increase in support for Sinn Fein stimulates an increase in support for the DUP, and vice versa. In the early Eighties, electoral success for Sinn Fein was matched by success for the DUP. In the late Eighties, support for both parties declined. Since 1997, support for both parties has surged, leading them to eclipse their more moderate rivals. I wonder now if something…
William Hill report huge interest in new market Following our call this morning for a betting market on whether leading figures will be arrested William Hill now have a market up. They opened with a price of 10/1 that the Prime Minister would be arrested in 2006 but this has been tightened after big punter interest. I think that this is worth a punt. Mike Smithson