Crewe TV Iain Dale is reporting on his site that a new poll on the by election has the Conservatives with an 8% lead. Iain does not know the pollster or who commissioned it. The figures Iain reports are:- CON 45%: LAB 37%: LD 14% The only other C&N poll was by ICM last weekend which had headline figures of CON 43% Lab 39%: LD 16%. I had a whisper that there was possibly going to be another ICM poll…
Surely it’s time for the curtain to close on the Dimbleby era? Just under a fortnight ago I had a rant about the woeful inadequacies of the BBC’s election coverage and many others have joined the criticism. The antics of Jeremy Vine have been the main focus but these were singled out as an example that something is going badly wrong. Since then we have two more impressive US primary election nights on CNN and the more you see their…
C&N punters mount their own U-turn Yesterday evening, less than two hours after Darling’s commons statement on the tax U-turn I published a chart here under the headline “Darling gives Labour a boost in the Crewe betting“. This has been picked up in the media and on a number of other sites and presented as an instant verdict on what Brown and Darling did yesterday. Well after consideration the markets have returned to almost exactly where they were 24 hours…
Is Boris’s “goodbye” a sign that the writ is about to be issued? The above has just gone on the Henley Standard website and suggests that the Tories are going to waste no time in setting the processes in train for an early by election to replace Boris Johnson. The piece is a “goodbye Henley letter” from the new Mayor which seems to suggest that the by election campaign has already started. There had been some speculation that he might…
But how much can we trust single constituency polls? According to Iain Dale an ICM poll of 1000 voters in Crewe & Nantwich is suggesting that the Tories are on target for their first by-election gain since 1982. The figures are:- CON 43% Lab 39%: LD 16% Clearly this is a very good pointer for Cameron’s party and the real significance is that it is his party, and not the traditional by election Kings, the Lib Dems who are seen…
Local Election Round Up Last week’s local elections were Labour’s worst since 1976/1977. The Party finished up 20% behind the Conservatives, in terms of projected national vote share, and suffered a net loss of 334 seats, from a low base. Taking into account some Labour gains, against the trend, the Party lost nearly one third of the seats it was defending. Some of the results were striking. For instance, the Conservatives outpolled Labour by 1,800 across the ten authorities of…
Indiana – 44% counted – Clinton leads 56-44 North Carolina – called for Obama, leads 64-34, 11% counted
Is this really “public service broadcasting”? I started ranting about this on election night itself and my anger has not subsided even though that was three nights ago. This is simply unacceptable. The BBC cannot expect to receive licence fee income if this is how it interprets its public service remit over the reporting of the democratic process. We need an assurance now from the Corporation that a totally different approach will be in place for the 2009 Euro and…