The Saturday continuation thread…
I’m in London visting my two grand-daughters – Esther aged ten weeks and Julia aged five months – and won’t be posting for the rest of the day. Please continue discussions here. Mike Smithson
The spread markets suggest a Tory majority of 50
There’s been some movement on the spread markets over the past twenty four hours. These are the latest spreads from Spreadfair: CON 345.5-354: LAB 228.1-234.5: 45-46.9 So the mid-point Tory level is just under 350 which points to a majority of 48/50 seats. It will be interesting to see how the actual C&N result affects the markets. Mike Smithson
So what will the majority be in Crewe & Nantwich?
Please use this continuation thread as we await the by-election result. Double Carpet
Can Hillary muscle her way onto the ticket?
Is this why she is staying in the race? An interesting article by Roger Simon on the excellent Politico site assesses whether Hillary has the strength and the arguments to force her way onto the ticket to occupy the V-P slot. He writes:”…Her victories in states such as Ohio, Pennsylvania and West Virginia and her strength with women and white working-class voters have fuelled the argument that Barack Obama must put her on the ticket if he wins the nomination…
The TV campaign that says Hillary’s still there
Obama wins majority of pledged delegates but the race goes on This is the new Clinton TV commercial for South Dakota which is holding its elections on June 3rd on the last day of this prolonged primary campaign for the Democratic nomination. It has just been issued even though overnight Obama took a gigantic step forward by securing a majority of pledged delegates. Hillary had her expected big victory in Kentucky but Barack has built up a big margin in…
Can Obama finally clinch it overnight?
Chickendancer Will he win enough pledged delegates to get a majority? The sign is from Prosperity, South Carolina and overnight is probably the last occasion when the picture can be used because it’s highly likely that Obama will pick up enough pledged delegates to be able to claim a clear majority. There are 51 at stake from today’s Kentucky primary and 52 from Oregon. He just needs 25 of them to be able to claim he’s won on this count….
Crewe & Nantwich…continuation thread
I am out in London all day and am unable to post. Please use this continuation thread. Thanks to Icarus for the picture. Mike Smithson
Word reaches me: “Milburn planning a challenge”
Could this bring the Brown’s leadship issue to a head? Word reaches me that the former Health Secretary and fervent Blairite, Alan Milburn, is planning to mount a leadership bid to topple Gordon Brown in the aftermath of Labour’s likely heavy defeat in the Crewe & Nantwich by-election. I cannot vouch for the accuracy of this but it comes from somebody I trust who has very close links within the party. Clearly something is going on out there and this…