Hills make Labour odds-on at Glenrothes The bookie says they have not taken any bets on the SNP winning the seat since Brown campaigned there at the weekend. The firm has Labour at 10/11 to win the seat, with the SNP marginal favourites at 4/5. The Hills Labour price is pretty mean. Just go to the round-up of live prices in the other Glenrothes betting and you can get the party at 5/4. Obama 19% ahead amongst early voters. The…
Will those in power get the blame or will they be seen as offering stability? Another week opens with volatility on the stock markets round the world and it’s almost as though this has become the new norm. We seem to be getting used to it and it isn’t quite dominating the headlines and bulletins in the way that it was. But what’s going to be the impact on political structures and the political process? Are, for instance, we going…
What can McCain-Palin do in the final few days? As we enter the final week of the 2008 US White House race newspapers right across the night are coming out for one candidate or the other. And there’s one today which will give extra pleasure to the Obama camp – from the leading publication in the state where Sarah Palin is governor, Alaska. This is how the Anchorage Daily News sees it: “..Gov. Palin’s nomination clearly alters the landscape for…
Which way for the Republican party after November? Tuesday last, I was invited to speak in a debate at Portcullis House by Liberal International on why a McCain presidency might not be such a bad thing after all (for Liberals). I threw four or five arguments into the mix (some persuasive, others less so), but one thought in particular has festered ever since: that if John McCain loses, the impact on the direction of the Republican Party could be significant….
Lest betting prices. Latest polls.
How can Cameron be stopped if the Tories are in the 40s? In the panel above are the Tory shares from the latest polls by the six firms that carry out monthly voting intention polls in Britain. There seem to be two clusters – ComRes/ICM/YouGov which have the party in the low 40s with Populus/MORI/BPIX recording shares in the mid-40s. These have varied from time to time but in spite of all that’s been happening Labour has found it all…
Is the narrative so much on his side at the moment? If you look at the Glenrothes by election betting then there’s little doubt how punters are seeing the Fife by election in the seat next door to Brown’s just two weeks today. Although there’s been some tightening of the Labour price the SNP are still odds on favourite. Sarah Brown herself was there yesterday and the Times has a wonderfully amusing account of how stage managed it all was….
For those obsessed with election numbers there’s a new source which I have put in the links bar on the right – the progress that is being made on early voting. In some states quite a lot of information is being made available including the numbers of registered Democrats and registered Republican party voters who have already turned out. The numbers look very good for Obama – reinforcing his continued solid leads in the polls. With this becoming such a…