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As most of the results are now in, the papers begin to give their take

As most of the results are now in, the papers begin to give their take

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Local results so far pic.twitter.com/HTCpa3cThj — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) May 23, 2014 INDEPENDENT FRONT PAGE: 'Farage crashes the parties' #skypapers pic.twitter.com/3h9VDpFcET — Sky News (@SkyNews) May 23, 2014 TELEGRAPH FRONT PAGE: 'Surge by UKIP throws Labour into poll crisis.' #skypapers pic.twitter.com/FpQ8MzaJ38 — Sky News (@SkyNews) May 23, 2014 Guardian front page, Saturday 24 May 2014: Miliband told: raise your game pic.twitter.com/rqG0mUYpbD — Guardian news (@guardiannews) May 23, 2014 TSE

Returning to the Holy Land after a gap of 46 years – and still no sign of peace

Returning to the Holy Land after a gap of 46 years – and still no sign of peace

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“An anti-semite is someone who hates us more than is necessary” The above comment, made over dinner at the Jerusalem Press Club by a prominent Israeli journalist in mid-February to me and five other UK-based journalists, in a nutshell explained why we were there. The state of Israel, created by the United Nations in 1948, has an ongoing PR problem and needs if not friends people in the outside world who at least understand it. The six of us had…

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And now… our inaugural New Year’s Day Crossword

And now… our inaugural New Year’s Day Crossword

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pic.twitter.com/MuKOKDA0Cz — PolPics (@PolPics) January 1, 2014 It is with some considerable trepidation that I step into the estimable shoes of stjohn, who has provided us with splendid Christmas Day cruciverbalism for the last six years.  Fear not, stjohn is merely resting, and may well be setting more puzzles in future.  If this offering gets his famous “nod” then we may even collaborate on a jumbo sometime! Traditionally members have supplied the answers (and explanations of the wordplay) in the…

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Take the 33-1 that UKIP will win Cambourne and Redruth

Take the 33-1 that UKIP will win Cambourne and Redruth

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PaddyPower has put up some more GE2015 single constituency markets including the Cornish seats of Cambourne Redruth which the Tories took off the Lib Dems in 2010. The latest prices are CON 2/5: LD 5/2: LAB 8/1 and UKIP 33/1 As highlighted by Stuart Dickson and others on a previous threads the UKIP option is a good value bet. When it went up it was priced at 40/1 – odds that quickly moved in. What makes this seat particularly interesting…

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My favourite political betting moment of the year

My favourite political betting moment of the year

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When politics and poker met The worlds of politics and poker have been feeding off each other for many decades, and in the Middle East’s most discussed and highly charged conflict, the two were about to collide in an unexpected fashion. An army is on the move, rockets detonate with an unrelenting regularity and the civil war in Syria is reaching its most bloody phase. Prime Ministers take to the nearest camera to deliver a solemn hope for peace, and…

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Tomorrow’s 2013 SPOTY election: David Herdson says that the value bet could be that Murray doesn’t win

Tomorrow’s 2013 SPOTY election: David Herdson says that the value bet could be that Murray doesn’t win

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pic.twitter.com/wRDO5Y8pyA — PolPics (@PolPics) December 14, 2013 The BBC’s Sports Personality of the Year (SPOTY) is, like X Factor, Strictly Come Dancing, Big Brother or Eurovision, very much an election.  As with all elections, working out the likely chances comes down to correctly understanding four things: the candidates, the campaigns, the voters, and the electoral system. Since Andy Murray won Wimbledon in the Summer, he’s been extremely long odds on to win, to the extent that if you believe the…

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