Tory Party website And is this Tory “effort” silly or smart? You got to feel a bit sorry for Gordon. Wherever he goes these days and faces questioning from serious journos he’s pressed to say “sorry”. It happened in the Oval Office and Tuesday and last night Sky News did an analysis of the words and phrases used in yesterday’s Congress address building up to the punch-line that the number of times he had said sorry was zero. Now the…
BBC Online But how long will it last? So there we have it. Brown’s address to Congress with its series of what was it seventeen separate standing ovations. The big question is whether it will help Labour’s standing in the polls. For the whole visit, particularly this event, is being reported in positive terms and there’s little doubt that for a British PM to be seen to be lauded in this way will go down well. My guess is that…
Times Online Could it be said that Obama is snubbing him? Clearly Barack Obama or his advisers can read opinion polls and it appears that they have made their minds up about Gordon Brown. For not too long after the British party arrived in Washington news came through that there will be no joint press conference between the two leaders. Instead Brown is going to have to make do with what’s described as a a “pool spray”. This is where…
ComRes Independent poll Do bad polls lead to more bad polls? In the final days of last November’s White House race a leading US expert on voter behaviour observed: “Negative feelings about a campaign can discourage voters by making them less likely to go through what can be a painful process: Voting for someone who will lose.†Although we are probably at least a year off voting isn’t that what’s happening with Labour supporters at the moment? They saw in…
CONSERVATIVES 44% (+3) LABOUR 28% (+3) LIB DEMS 17% (-5) But for Nick Clegg’s party it’s back to normal The big news in the last ComRes poll a fortnight ago was a sensational boost for the Lib Dems which had them at 22% – only three points behind Labour. Tonight they are back at 17% which is broadly in line with the other pollsters – the question is whether this represents a change of opinion or is partly down to…
PoliticsHome Sept 2008 How many seats will the Tories get in Scotland? My understanding is that PoliticsHome is considering updating its massive marginals polling exercise that sought to make predictions for 238 battle-ground seats in the coming election. This is great news for as we get closer to the general election and more betting markets open up I find myself relying more and more and on the massive survey last year in which more 34,000 voters were questioned. Featured above…
YouGov Is anything other than equidistance wrong for the LDs? If other polls follow YouGov and we get near to hung parliament territory again there will be more focus on what other parties, notably the SNP and the Lib Dems, would do. Here the views of party supporters might be important. The best regular guide of how Lib Dem voters view things comes in the monthly Telegraph poll with the detailed splits on their forced choice “Brown or Cameron” question….
How can minsters claim competence after agreeing to this? The numbers involved are on such a scale that it’s hard for the ordinary voter to comprehend the crisis that the financial system has been going through in the past five months. The challenge for ministers has been to appear confident and competent without being complacent. And for the most part since then the government has given off an aura of knowing what it’s doing which has been picked up in…