SkyNews What does this do to “Vote Yellow get Brown”? In the eleven days since Nick Clegg’s Liberal Democrats emerged as a force at the first debate the blue team’s main line of attack has been “Vote Yellow get Brown”. Given the ongoing unpopularity of the Prime Minister and the desire for change being shown in the polls this had a lot of potency which would have dominated the Tories’ final week’s campaigning. That has been knocked on the head…
This is a regular feature which will run every Sunday night up until polling day, to include the last set of figures from each pollster, as well as the current seat spreads from the betting markets, and also international updates. The pollsters Last poll from each pollster Con Lab LD Oth Lead YouGov 25 Apr 34 28 30 8 Con 4 BPIX 24 Apr 34 26 30 10 Con 4 Ipsos-MORI 23 Apr 36 30 23 11 Con 6 ComRes…
Top 5 postal voting seats 2005 Postal ballots issued LAB-LD swing required 2010 Newcastle North 45.4% 8.5% Stevenage 45% Rushcliffe 39.9% Newcastle Central 36.7% 11.5% Newcastle East 35.4% 10.5% National average 12.1% …is this why Cleggie headed first for Newcastle? I was very struck on Friday with the oddness of Clegg’s travel schedule on the day after the Sky News debate in Bristol. On the face of it you would have thought that he’d have headed out to some of…
Or is it almost all over? To see more of Marf’s work check here.
Lots of hints starting to emerge about the polls for the Sunday papers. Kratz reported this on an earlier thread: “Labour are losing ground in ICM to both the Lib Dems and the Tories. The gap between Tories and LD is greater than in the previous ICM but the LD share is higher once again. Sorry for talking in riddles.” Looking back over previous comments from Kratz he/she has been pretty good with poll predictions – the reason why I…
Are you satisfied/dissatisfied with the way Brown is doing his job..?” (MORI Apr 18) Satisfied Dissatisfied All questioned 35% 59% Lib Dem voters only 29% 65% Are you satisfied/dissatisfied with the way Cameron is doing his job..?” (MORI Apr 18) Satisfied Dissatisfied All questioned 45% 42% Lib Dem voters only 32% 56% With the talk continuing over whether Clegg would prop up Brown or not I thought I’d dig out Lib Dem voters splits from the latest MORI poll. The…
Why’s Labour not using such a traditionally effective medium? All elections are different in some way from what’s gone before as new campaigning techniques and opportunities come in, as new issues and concerns arise and as new candidates find alternative ways of interacting with the electorate. This one’s no exception. While much has rightly been made of the TV debates – by far the biggest innovation of the 2010 election – one major component of recent elections seems curiously absent this…
YouGov Daily Poll – Sun Apr 23 Apr 22 CONSERVATIVES 34% 34% LIB DEMS 29% 28% LABOUR 29% 29% It’s almost no change after the second debate This evening’s YouGov daily poll for the Sun is just out and apart from the one point lift for the Lib Dems it’s no change. This is the first poll where all the fieldwork followed the debate and both the red and blue teams might feel a tad disappointed not to have seen…