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Category: EU Referendum

UPDATED With Cameron’s EU talks reaching crucial stage REMAIN’s Ipsos MORI lead drops 7%

UPDATED With Cameron’s EU talks reaching crucial stage REMAIN’s Ipsos MORI lead drops 7%

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CORRECTION #EURef polling chart. Earlier Tweet on Ipsos-MORI not based on actual question. This one is pic.twitter.com/5CpxRZhGhU — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 29, 2016 @IpsosMORI chart showing last 3 #EURef polls. So REMAIN lead lower than December but larger than Oct 2015 pic.twitter.com/c3CfChXsbI — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 29, 2016 The gap down but still larger than last October Given the vast bulk of EURef polling has been from online surveys it’s great to see that Ipsos-MORI appears to now…

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Concern about the economy at highest level since 2013

Concern about the economy at highest level since 2013

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Economic optimism at lowest level since 2013 pic.twitter.com/sjhyhQ1YOc — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 28, 2016 This could hinder the BREXIT campaign? The January Ipsos-MORI economic optimism index is out and shows the lowest figure since 2013. This has been a regular tracker from the firm for decades and is calculated by taking the percentage of those saying they are optimistic about the economy and deducting those who are negative. In the current context in the run up to the EU…

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If all goes to Dave’s plan British voters will be filling in one of these in just 144 days

If all goes to Dave’s plan British voters will be filling in one of these in just 144 days

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What the #EUref ballot paper looks like pic.twitter.com/3fyOYNUmer — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 27, 2016 The online-phone EURef poll gap remains REVISED #EURef polling table showing all published surveys over past 2 months pic.twitter.com/ogzBOR97h5 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 27, 2016 A picture of the actual referendum ballot paper was featured on the BBC Daily Politics this morning. The pic above is a screen shot. There’s something about seeing a ballot paper that makes an election very real and all…

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David Herdson says the EU Referendum campaign could already be over with REMAIN the victors

David Herdson says the EU Referendum campaign could already be over with REMAIN the victors

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What LEAVE has to do now if it is to have any chance The EU referendum campaign may well already be over with Remain having won. In many ways, that shouldn’t be the case. Europe hardly presents a picture of radiant success on a practical level, while the idea of a common European home is laughable when states are re-erecting borders against each other. A troubled economy, social disharmony and a dysfunctional political system – what more could a Eurosceptic…

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If not Boris then WHO is going to lead of the out campaign?

If not Boris then WHO is going to lead of the out campaign?

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This is big #EUref news. Boris says he's not an "outer" https://t.co/0a8iBc4yxp pic.twitter.com/fimi0HCPoB — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 13, 2016 What about Jacob Rees-Mogg? The EU referendum is getting closer and last week’s announcement by David Cameron that ministers could campaign for LEAVE might have been expected to open the flood gates of senior Tories announcing that they would be campaigning against. Boris would have been a superb catch but the Mayor only does things that fit in with his…

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What all CON ministers have been wanting: A definitive guide to where their party voters stand on the EURef

What all CON ministers have been wanting: A definitive guide to where their party voters stand on the EURef

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Now they’ve got the freedom this should help them make up their minds or not The other big political development this week has been the move to allow CON ministers to speak out on either side in the EU referendum campaign. Some of them, no doubt, will consult the polls to see how their general elections voters are viewing thinfs. If CON ministers are doing this, however, they’ll find it very confusing. The chart is restricted solely to CON voters…

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Farage’s ratings tumble could impact on who runs the LEAVE campaign

Farage’s ratings tumble could impact on who runs the LEAVE campaign

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Newly released YouGov leader ratings see Farage dropping sharply. Doing well figure down from 37% to 31%. Doing badly up from 40% to 49%. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 5, 2016 Could he be a liability to the BREXIT effort not an asset While all the focus of late had been on Corbyn’s LAB another big political decision which could have huge consequences is so far unresolved. Who is going to lead and be the public voice of the LEAVE…

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British politics 2016 in one word: Europe

British politics 2016 in one word: Europe

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One issue; three interlinking components Can 2016 live up to the excitement that last year gave us? Remarkably, it could. Internationally, the extremely interesting year-long elections in the US may well produce the first female president of the United States (albeit the wife of a former president), and if not, could well put an untested populist with no political experience in the White House. But in Britain, one issue is likely to dominate: the European referendum on David Cameron’s deal…

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