Now they’ve got the freedom this should help them make up their minds or not
The other big political development this week has been the move to allow CON ministers to speak out on either side in the EU referendum campaign. Some of them, no doubt, will consult the polls to see how their general elections voters are viewing thinfs.
If CON ministers are doing this, however, they’ll find it very confusing. The chart is restricted solely to CON voters at the last general election and shows how each of the four main pollsters had the split in their latest round of polling to the question “Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?” This is, of course, the precise wording that will appear on the ballot.
As can be seen there’s a massive split between the phone surveys and online.
At the general election phone and online pollsters performed equally badly so there’s no help there.
At the Scottish IndyRef in September 2014 the phone firms just had the edge. In the previous national referendum, the May 2011 one on AV, the phone firms won by a huge margin.